Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2012, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.
Note that some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2012.
Alabama
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 60%–38%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Survey Research Center | August 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 18 | 452 RV | ±4.6% |
| Capital Survey Research Center | June 7, 18–19, 26–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 15 | 551 LV | ±4.2% |
Arizona
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 11 | 833 RV | ±3.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | June 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Project New America/Public Policy Polling (D) | June 4–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 3 | 791 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| DC London/Magellan Strategies (R) | April 30 – May 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 9 | 909 LV | ±3.25% |
| Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | April 9–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 2 | 511 RV | ±4.4% |
| Arizona State University | April 8–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | 488 RV | ±4.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | March 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| 44% | Rick Santorum | 45% | 1 | |||||
| NBC News/Marist College | February 19–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 2,487 RV | ±1.8% |
| Barack Obama | 41% | Ron Paul | 43% | 2 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 5 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Santorum | 45% | 3 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tie | 743 RV | ±3.6% |
| Barack Obama | 46% | Ron Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 4 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Santorum | 47% | 1 | ||||
| Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) Archived September 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | January 5–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 553 RV | ±4.3% |
| Barack Obama | 44% | Ron Paul | 36% | 8 | ||||
| 45% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 10 | |||||
| 43% | Rick Santorum | 34% | 9 |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 4 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
Arkansas
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talk Business/Hendrix College | March 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 33% | Mitt Romney | 56.5% | 23.5 | 759 LV | ±3.6% |
California
55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Policy Analysis for California Education/USC Rossier School of Education/Tulchin Research | August 3–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55.6% | Mitt Romney | 32.7% | 22.9 | 1,041 LV | ±3.0% |
| CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies | July 16–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51.9% | Mitt Romney | 32.6% | 19.3 | 812 LV | ±3.4% |
| Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) | June 21 – July 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 18 | 848 LV | ±3.4% |
| SurveyUSA | May 27–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 21 | 1,575 RV | ±2.5% |
| Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) | May 21–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 32% | 16 | 710 RV | ±3.8% |
| USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | May 17–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 19 | 1,002 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | May 14–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | 894 LV | ±4.2% |
| SurveyUSA | March 29, 2012 – April 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 31 | 1,995 RV | ±2.2% |
| USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | March 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 21 | 1,500 RV | ±2.9% |
| Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) | February 11–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 20 | 1,000 RV | ±3.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | February 8–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 22 | 500 | ±4.5% |
| 58% | Rick Santorum | 30% | 28 | |||||
| SurveyUSA | February 8–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 29 | 2,088 RV | ±2.1% |
| 63% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 36 | |||||
| 61% | Ron Paul | 29% | 31 | |||||
| 61% | Rick Santorum | 29% | 32 |
Colorado
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs | August 21–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Purple Strategies Archived October 16, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | August 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 779 LV | ±3.5% |
| Purple Strategies | July 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang-Research Group (D) | June 25 – July 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 608 LV | ±4.% |
| We Ask America | June 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.6% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3.6 | 1,083 LV | ±2.98% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 14–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 799 LV | ±3.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | June 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Purple Strategies | May 31 – June 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| NBC News/Marist College | May 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 1,030 RV | ±3.0% |
| Project New America/Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D) | May 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 601 RV | ±4.0% |
| Purple Strategies | April 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | Not reported | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 5–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 13 | 542 | ±4.2% |
| 55% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 18 | |||||
| 54% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 16 | |||||
| 47% | Ron Paul | 42% | 5 |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 4 | 779 | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 14–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 39% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 8 | 799 | ±3.5% |
Connecticut
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 19, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | August 22–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 7 | 1,472 LV | ±2.6% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | August 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 27, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 29, 2012 – June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 12 | 1,408 | ±2.6% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived March 22, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | March 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 16 | 1,622 | ±2.4% |
| 55% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 20 |
Florida
29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation | August 22–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 776 LV | ±3.5% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | August 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,241 LV | ±2.8% |
| Gravis Marketing | August 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 728 LV | ±3.8% |
| Foster McCollum White Baydoun/Douglas Fulmer & Associates | August 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39.9% | Mitt Romney | 54.46% | 14.56 | 1,503 LV | ±2.53% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | August 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Purple Strategies Archived October 16, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | July 24–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 1,177 LV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 871 LV | ±3.3% |
| WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA | July 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 647 LV | ±3.9% |
| Purple Strategies Archived September 7, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | July 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | July 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | July 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Priorities USA/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) | June 25 – July 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 608 LV | ±4.0% |
| We Ask America | July 1–2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.1% | Mitt Romney | 45.3% | 0.8 | 1,127 LV | ±2.9% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived October 8, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | June 19–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | 1,200 RV | ±2.8% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived June 23, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | June 12–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | 1,697 RV | ±2.4% |
| Purple Strategies Archived June 7, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 31, 2012 – June 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 31 – June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 642 RV | ±3.9% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived October 8, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 6 | 1,722 RV | ±2.4% |
| NBC News/Marist College | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 1,078 RV | ±3.0% |
| Suffolk University/7News Archived October 4, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 6–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 600 RV | ±4% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived October 7, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | April 25 – May 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 1,169 RV | ±2.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | April 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Purple Strategies Archived May 10, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | April 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | April 15–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | 757 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 8 | 700 LV | ±3.7% |
| 50% | Ron Paul | 40% | 10 | |||||
| 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | |||||
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | March 20–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 1,228 RV | ±2.8% |
| 50% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 13 | |||||
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | March 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| 45% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 2 | |||||
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | February 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| 47% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 1 | |||||
| NBC News/Marist College | January 25–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 8 | 1,739 LV | ±2.7% |
| 52% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 17 | |||||
| 50% | Ron Paul | 36% | 14 | |||||
| 50% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 15 | |||||
| Mason-Dixon Research & Polling/Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald[permanent dead link] | January 24–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 4 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
| Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 9 | ||||
| 50% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 11 | |||||
| Suffolk University Archived May 2, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | January 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 5 | 600 RV | Not reported |
| Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 9 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 4, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | January 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 1,518 RV | ±2.5% |
| Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 11 | ||||
| 47% | Ron Paul | 39% | 8 | |||||
| 49% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 9 | |||||
| Everglades Foundation/Tarrance Group (R) | January 4–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 607 LV | ±4.1% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 2, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | January 4–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,412 RV | ±2.8% |
| Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 2 |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Dixon | July 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Gary Johnson | 2% | 1 | 800 | ±3.5% |
Georgia
16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/20 Insight | August 15–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 3 | 1,158 LV | ±2.9% |
| Majority Opinion Research/InsiderAdvantage | May 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 12 | 438 | Not reported |
| Rosetta Stone Communications/Landmark Communications | May 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40.2% | Mitt Romney | 51.1% | 10.9 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| SurveyUSA | February 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 4 | 1,156 RV | ±2.9% |
| 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | |||||
| 43% | Rick Santorum | 47% | 4 | |||||
| 43% | Ron Paul | 46% | 3 |
Illinois
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crain's Chicago Business/Ipsos | July 16–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 20 | 600 | ±4.7% |
| WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune | February 2–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 21 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Indiana
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | July 31 – August 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 16 | 400 LV | ±5.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | May 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether Research/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group Archived August 10, 2012, at the Wayback Machine |
March 26–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 9 | 503 LV | ±4.5% |
| 41% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 5 |
Iowa
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 1,244 LV | ±2.8% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | August 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 1,131 RV | ±2.91% |
| We Ask America | June 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 1,086 LV | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | June 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| NBC News/Marist College | May 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | 1,106 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Ron Paul | 39% | 8 | 1,181 RV | ±2.85% |
| Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 10 | ||||
| Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co.[permanent dead link] | February 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 14 | 611 LV | ±3.5% |
| Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | ||||
| 42% | Ron Paul | 49% | 7 | |||||
| 44% | Rick Santorum | 48% | 4 |
Maine
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Press Herald/Critical Insights | June 20–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 14 | 615 RV | ±4.0% |
| MassINC Polling Group | June 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 14 | 506 LV | ±4.4% |
| Critical Insights | May 2–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Ron Paul | 38% | 16 | 1,256 RV | ±2.8% |
| 58% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 23 | |||||
| 60% | Newt Gingrich | 32% | 28 | |||||
| 58% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 23 |
Maryland
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 56%–43%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marylanders for Marriage Equality/Public Policy Polling (D) | May 14–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 58% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 23 | 852 LV | ±3.4% |
Massachusetts
11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimball Political Consulting | August 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 11 | 592 LV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 16 | 1,115LV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 16 | 902LV | ±3.3% |
| Western New England University | May 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 22 | 504 LV | ±4.4% |
| The Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire | May 25–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 12 | 651 LV | ±3.8% |
| Suffolk University Archived October 4, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 20–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 25 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | May 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 21 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | April 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| The Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire | March 21–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 16 | 544 LV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Newt Gingrich | 28% | 34 | 936 RV | ±3.2% |
| 58% | Ron Paul | 30% | 28 | |||||
| 58% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 23 | |||||
| 61% | Rick Santorum | 29% | 32 | |||||
| MassLive.com/The Republican/Western New England University | February 23 – March 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 26 | 527 RV | ±4.3% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | February 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 17 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| 58% | Rick Santorum | 32% | 26 | |||||
| Suffolk University | February 11–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 63% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 36 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| 53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | |||||
| 59% | Rick Santorum | 32% | 27 | |||||
| 60% | Ron Paul | 26% | 34 | |||||
| Mass Insight Global Partnerships/Opinion Dynamics Corporation | January 31 – February 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 18 | 456 RV | ±4.6% |
Four Way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Green | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±3.3% Sample size: 902LV |
June 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Jill Stein | 3% | Gary Johnson | 1% | 15 |
Michigan
16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPIC-MRA | August 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1200 LV | ±2.6% |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | August 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.6% | Mitt Romney | 47.7% | 0.1 | 1277 LV | ±2.74% |
| Detroit News/Glengariff Group Archived October 7, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | August 18–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.5% | Mitt Romney | 42.0% | 5.5 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting | August 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 4 | 1,733 LV | ±2.35% |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | August 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 1,079 LV | ±2.98% |
| EPIC-MRA | July 24–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 600 LV | ±3.5% |
| Mitchell Research & Communications[permanent dead link] | July 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 825 LV | ±3.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | July 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 21–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | 579 RV | ±4.1% |
| NBC News/Marist College | June 24–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,078 RV | ±3.0% |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | June 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 750 LV | ±3.58% |
| We Ask America | June 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 1,010LV | ±3.0% |
| Lambert, Edwards & Associates/Denno Research | June 14–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 40% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | June 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Baydoun Consulting/Foster McCollum White & Associates | June 12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.89% | Mitt Romney | 45.48% | 1.41 | 1,783 | ±2.32% |
| EPIC-MRA | June 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 24–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Glengariff Group[permanent dead link] | May 10–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| EPIC-MRA | March 31 – April 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Marketing Resource Group | March 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| NBC News/Marist College | February 19–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Rick Santorum | 29% | 26 | 3,149 RV | ±1.8% |
| 56% | Newt Gingrich | 28% | 28 | |||||
| 53% | Ron Paul | 31% | 22 | |||||
| 51% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 18 | |||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 10–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 11 | 560 RV | ±4.14% |
| 56% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 22 | |||||
| 52% | Ron Paul | 34% | 18 | |||||
| 54% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 16 | |||||
| Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA | January 21–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 13 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| 48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 |
Minnesota
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA Archived November 1, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | July 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 6 | 552 LV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 31 – June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 15 | 973 RV | ±3.1% |
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA | May 9–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 14 | 516 RV | ±4.4% |
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA | January 31 – February 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 13 | 542 RV | ±4.3% |
| 55% | Newt Gingrich | 29% | 26 | |||||
| 48% | Ron Paul | 37% | 11 | |||||
| 51% | Rick Santorum | 32% | 19 | |||||
| Public Policy Polling | January 21–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 15 | 1,236 RV | ±2.8% |
| 52% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 12 | |||||
| 51% | Ron Paul | 38% | 13 | |||||
| 51% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 10 |
Missouri
10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 28–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 12 | 621 LV | ±3.9% |
| St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | August 22–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 625 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | August 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| KSDK-TV St. Louis/KSHB-TV Kansas City/KSPR-TV Springfield/KYTV-TV Springfield/SurveyUSA | August 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 585 LV | ±4.1% |
| Missouri Scout/Chilenski Strategies | August 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 663LV | ±3.8% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | July 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| We Ask America | July 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39.73% | Mitt Romney | 49.01% | 9.28 | 1,172 LV | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | June 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 24–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 602 RV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | April 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | March 14–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Santorum | 51% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 9 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling | January 27–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 7 | 582 RV | ±4.1% |
| Barack Obama | 45% | Ron Paul | 43% | 2 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | ||||
| Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Santorum | 44% | 3 |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitol Correspondent/North Star Campaign Systems/Gravis Marketing (R) | August 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36.1% | Mitt Romney | 53.1% | Gary Johnson | 4.1% | 17 | 1,057 A | ±3.4% |
| We Ask America | July 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39.7% | Mitt Romney | 49.0% | Gary Johnson | 2.1% | 9.3 | 1,172 LV | ±3.0% |
Montana
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | August 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 17 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | June 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 9 | 500 | ±5.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | May 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 7 | 450 LV | ±5.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 5 | 934 RV | ±3.2% |
| 41% | Ron Paul | 49% | 8 | |||||
| Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | Tie | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | February 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 7 | 500 RV | ±4.5% |
| 41% | Rick Santorum | 45% | 4 |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 43% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 2 | 934 | ±3.2% |
Nebraska
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | May 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 14 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 12 | 1,028 RV | ±3.1% |
| 38% | Rick Santorum | 55% | 17 | |||||
| 40% | Newt Gingrich | 49% | 9 | |||||
| 37% | Ron Paul | 49% | 12 | |||||
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | March 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 17 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| 37% | Rick Santorum | 49% | 12 |
Second congressional district
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | Not reported | Not reported |
| Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Santorum | 47% | Tied | ||||
| Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Ron Paul | 44% | 2 |
Nevada
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 831 LV | ±3.4% |
| Las Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA | August 16–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 869 LV | ±3.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | July 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Magellan Strategies | July 16–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 665 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| NBC News/Marist College | May 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,040 RV | ±3.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | April 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 29 – April 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 533 RV | ±4.2% |
| 54% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 14 | |||||
| 49% | Ron Paul | 42% | 7 | |||||
| 54% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 15 | |||||
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | March 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| 52% | Rick Santorum | 36% | 16 |
Three-way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| We Ask America | July 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | Gary Johnson | 2% | 6 | 1,092 LV | ±2.95% |
New Hampshire
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 1,055 LV | ±3.0% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire Archived August 16, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | August 1–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 555 LV | ±4.2% |
| Democracy for America/Public Policy Polling (D) | August 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,591 LV | ±2.5% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire Archived September 29, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | July 5–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 470 LV | ±4.5% |
| NBC News/Marist College | June 24–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 1 | 1029 RV | ±3.1% |
| American Research Group | June 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 417 LV | Not reported |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | June 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 12 | 1,163 RV | ±2.9% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | April 9–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 486 LV | ±4.4% |
| Dartmouth College | April 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42.4% | Mitt Romney | 43.9% | 1.5 | 403 RV | ±4.9% |
| American Research Group | March 15–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 557 RV | Not reported |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | January 25 – February 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 10 | 495 LV | ±4.4% |
| 50% | Ron Paul | 42% | 8 | |||||
| 60% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 25 | |||||
| 56% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 21 |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 13 | 1,163 | ±2.9% |
New Jersey
14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rutgers University Archived November 14, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | August 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 14 | 710 LV | ±3.5% |
| Monmouth University | July 18–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 13 | 678 RV | ±3.8% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived October 9, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | July 9–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 11 | 1,623 RV | ±2.4% |
| Rutgers University | May 31 – June 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 23 | 1,065 RV | ±2.9% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived October 9, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 9–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 10 | 1,582 | ±2.5% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) | April 30 – May 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 14 | 797 RV | ±3.5% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | April 3–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 9 | 1,607 RV | ±2.4% |
| 51% | Rick Santorum | 36% | 15 | |||||
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | February 21–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 10 | 1,396 RV | ±2.6% |
| 55% | Newt Gingrich | 30% | 25 | |||||
| 52% | Rick Santorum | 34% | 18 | |||||
| WABC-TV New York/SurveyUSA | February 24–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 14 | 533 RV | ±4.3% |
| 61% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 34 | |||||
| 57% | Rick Santorum | 33% | 24 | |||||
| 56% | Ron Paul | 31% | 25 | |||||
| Rutgers University | February 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 25 | 914 RV | ±3.3% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | January 10–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 10 | 1,460 RV | ±2.6% |
New Mexico
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | August 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 14 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 724 RV | ±3.6% |
| We Ask America | July 9–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | 1,295 LV | ±2.8% |
| Patriot Majority/FM3 Research (D) | May 16–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 13 | 502 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 14 | 526 RV | ±4.3% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | April 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 15 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| 52% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 16 | |||||
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | February 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 18 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| 55% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 19 |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Gary Johnson | 13% | 4 | 724 | ±3.64% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 35% | Gary Johnson | 15% | 13 | 526 | ±4.3% |
New York
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | August 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 29 | 671 LV | ±3.8% |
| Siena College | July 10–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 61% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 27 | 758 RV | ±3.6% |
| Siena College | June 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 24 | 807 RV | ±3.4% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived October 4, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 22–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 25 | 1,504 RV | ±2.5% |
| Siena College | May 6–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 20 | 766 RV | ±3.5% |
| NY1/YNN/Marist College[permanent dead link] | April 10–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 22 | 632 RV | ±4.0% |
| Siena College | April 1–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 65% | Newt Gingrich | 29% | 36 | 808 RV | ±3.4% |
| 61% | Ron Paul | 31% | 30 | |||||
| 60% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 25 | |||||
| 62% | Rick Santorum | 23% | 39 | |||||
| Quinnipiac University Archived October 8, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | March 28 – April 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 23 | 1,597 RV | ±2.5% |
| 59% | Rick Santorum | 30% | 29 | |||||
| Siena College | February 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 26 | 808 RV | ±3.4% |
| 64% | Rick Santorum | 30% | 34 | |||||
| 62% | Ron Paul | 29% | 33 | |||||
| 66% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 39 | |||||
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | February 8–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 17 | 1,233 RV | ±2.8% |
| 57% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 26 | |||||
| 53% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 18 |
North Carolina
15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOX 8/High Point University/SurveyUSA | August 26–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 543 RV | ±4.3% |
| Elon University | August 25–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 1,089 LV | ±3% |
| CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation | August 22–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 766 LV | ±3.5% |
| High Point University/SurveyUSA Archived August 9, 2021, at the Wayback Machine | August 18–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 43% | Tied | 540 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 813 LV | ±3.4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research Archived August 9, 2021, at the Wayback Machine | August 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Civitas Institute/National Research (R) | July 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 600 RV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 775 RV | ±3.5% |
| Project New America/Myers Research (D) | July 1–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
| Civitas Institute/SurveyUSA | June 29 – July 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 5 | 558 RV | ±4.2% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | June 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| NBC News/Marist College | June 24–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 1,019 RV | ±3.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 2 | 810 RV | ±3.4% |
| WRAL-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA | May 18–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 524 LV | ±4.4% |
| Civitas Institute/National Research (R) | May 19–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 RV | ±4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | May 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 666 RV | ±3.8% |
| WRAL-TV Raleigh/Survey USA | April 26–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,636 RV | ±2.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | April 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 4–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 10 | 975 RV | ±3.1% |
| 48% | Ron Paul | 43% | 5 | |||||
| 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | |||||
| 50% | Rick Santorum | 44% | 6 | |||||
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 9 | 804 RV | ±3.5% |
| 48% | Ron Paul | 41% | 7 | |||||
| 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | |||||
| 49% | Rick Santorum | 44% | 5 | |||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 3–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 5 | 1,052 RV | ±3.0% |
| 47% | Ron Paul | 41% | 6 | |||||
| 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | |||||
| 48% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 2 | |||||
| Civitas Institute/National Research (R) | January 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 9 | 300 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 780 RV | ±3.5% |
| 49% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 6 | |||||
| 47% | Ron Paul | 41% | 6 | |||||
| 49% | Rick Perry | 41% | 8 | |||||
| Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Santorum | 46% | Tied |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 2 | 666 | ±3.8% |
North Dakota
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 63%–36%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota Democratic-NPL State Party/DFM Research (D) | July 24–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 19 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | July 10–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 15 | 400 | ±5.0% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | June 4–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 13 | 625 RV | ±4.0% |
Ohio
18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing | August 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45.27% | Mitt Romney | 44.39% | 0.88 | 728 LV | ±3.8% |
| Columbus Dispatch | August 15–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 1,758 LV | ±2.1% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | August 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,253 LV | ±2.8% |
| University of Cincinnati | August 16–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 847 LV | ±3.4% |
| Purple Strategies Archived October 16, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | August 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 961 LV | ±3.2% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 24–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,193 LV | ±3.0% |
| We Ask America | July 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.84% | Mitt Romney | 40.2% | 7.64 | 1,115 LV | ±3.0% |
| Opportunity Ohio/Magellan Strategies (R) | July 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | 597 LV | ±4.01% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | July 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Purple Strategies Archived September 7, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | July 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) | June 25 – July 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 7 | 608 LV | ±4.0% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived October 8, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | June 19–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 9 | 1,237 RV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 673 RV | ±3.8% |
| Purple Strategies Archived June 7, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | May 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| NBC News/Marist College | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 1,103RV | ±3.0% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 2–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 1,069 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Ron Paul | 40% | 8 | 875 RV | ±3.3% |
| 50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | |||||
| Quinnipiac University Archived October 7, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | April 25 – May 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | 1,130 RV | ±2.9% |
| Purple Strategies Archived May 10, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | April 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | Not reported | ±4.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | April 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | April 15–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 6 | 606 RV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | March 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| 47% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 6 | |||||
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | March 20–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 | 1,246 RV | ±2.8% |
| 47% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 7 | |||||
| NBC News/Marist College | February 29 – March 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 12 | 1573 RV | ±2.5% |
| 51% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 15 | |||||
| 48% | Ron Paul | 38% | 10 | 1505 RV | ||||
| 50% | Rick Santorum | 36% | 14 | |||||
| Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company | February 11–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 505 RV | ±4.5% |
| Barack Obama | 43% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 6 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 40% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 3 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 41% | Ron Paul | 42% | 1 | ||||
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | February 7–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 12 | 1,421 RV | ±2.6% |
| 47% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 6 | |||||
| 46% | Ron Paul | 40% | 6 | |||||
| 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | |||||
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | February 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Rick Santorum | 44% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | ||||
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 6 | 820 RV | ±3.4% |
| 51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | |||||
| 48% | Ron Paul | 38% | 10 | |||||
| 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | |||||
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | January 9–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 11 | 1,610 RV | ±2.4% |
| 52% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 14 | |||||
| 48% | Ron Paul | 39% | 9 | |||||
| 44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 |
Oklahoma
7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 65.6%–34.4%
(Republican in 2008) 65.7%–34.4%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll Archived September 28, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | July 26 – August 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 29% | Mitt Romney | 58% | 29 | 495 LV | ±4.4% |
| SoonerPoll Archived July 4, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 27% | Mitt Romney | 62% | 35 | 504 LV | ±4.4% |
Oregon
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPP | June 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 686 | ±3.7% |
| Survey USA | May 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,468 | ±2.6% |
| Survey USA | March 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | 1,615 | ±2.5% |
| 54% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 20 | |||||
| 49% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 9 | |||||
| 48% | Ron Paul | 39% | 9 |
Pennsylvania
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc. | August 21–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 601 LV | ±4% |
| Morning Call/Muhlenberg College Archived November 5, 2013, at the Wayback Machine | August 20–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 9 | 422 LV | ±5% |
| Franklin and Marshall College | August 7–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 681 RV | ±3.8% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 24–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 11 | 1,168 LV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 21–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 758 RV | ±3.6% |
| Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R) | July 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 800 LV | ±3.46% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | July 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| We Ask America | July 9–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 7 | 1,227 LV | ±2.8% |
| Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) | June 25 – July 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 9 | 608 LV | ±4.0% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived October 8, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | June 19–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 6 | 1,252 RV | ±2.8% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived October 8, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | June 5–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 6 | 997 RV | ±3.1% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | May 29 – June 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 12 | 412 RV | ±4.8% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | May 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 671 RV | ±3.8% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived October 7, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | April 25 – May 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 8 | 1,168 RV | ±2.9% |
| Morning Call/Muhlenberg College | March 23 – April 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 5 | 492 RV | ±5% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | March 20–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 3 | 1,232 RV | ±2.8% |
| 48% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 7 | |||||
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 689 RV | ±4.1% |
| 51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | |||||
| 47% | Ron Paul | 41% | 6 | |||||
| 48% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 2 | |||||
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | March 7–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 6 | 1,256 RV | ±2.8% |
| 50% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 13 | |||||
| 45% | Ron Paul | 40% | 5 | |||||
| 45% | Rick Santorum | 44% | 1 | |||||
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | February 8–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 438 LV | ±4.5% |
| 46% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 6 | |||||
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | February 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 11 | 625 RV | ±4.0% |
| 49% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 8 | |||||
| Franklin & Marshall College | February 14–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 8 | 592 RV | ±4.0% |
| 47% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 16 | |||||
| 41% | Ron Paul | 28% | 13 | |||||
| 45% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 8 | |||||
| Susquehanna Polling and Research | February 2–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 800 RV | ±3.46% |
| Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 4 |
South Carolina
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reuters/Ipsos | January 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 995 RV | ±3.4% |
South Dakota
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nielson Brothers Polling | July 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 6 | 546 LV | ±4.19% |
Tennessee
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt University/Princeton Survey Research Associates International | May 2–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 7 | 826 RV | Not reported |
| Middle Tennessee State University | February 13–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 4 | 416 LV | ±4.0% |
| 41% | Ron Paul | 44% | 3 | |||||
| 41% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 6 | |||||
| 39% | Rick Santorum | 51% | 12 | |||||
| Vanderbilt University/Princeton Survey Research Associates International | February 16–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 3 | 1,508 RV | ±3% |
| Barack Obama | 39% | Ron Paul | 40% | 1 | ||||
| 39% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 3 | |||||
| 38% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 4 |
Texas
38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov | May 7–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 20 | 511 | ±4.34% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 591 RV | ±4.0% |
| 45% | Newt Gingrich | 47% | 2 | |||||
| 43% | Ron Paul | 47% | 4 | |||||
| University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov | February 8–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Newt Gingrich | 49% | 11 | 527 LV | ±4.27% |
| 36% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 13 | 529 LV | ±4.26% | |||
| 37% | Rick Santorum | 51% | 14 | |||||
| 35% | Ron Paul | 44% | 9 | |||||
| Public Policy Polling | January 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 2 | 700 RV | ±3.7% |
| Barack Obama | 40% | Ron Paul | 46% | 6 | ||||
| 47% | Rick Perry | 48% | 1 | |||||
| 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | |||||
| 42% | Rick Santorum | 49% | 7 |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Other candidates | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 8 | 700 RV | ±3.7% | |
| Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 40% | Ron Paul* | 17% | 2 |
- – Ron Paul was running as a Republican candidate.
Utah
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deseret News/KSL-TV/Dan Jones & Associates | June 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 26% | Mitt Romney | 68% | 42 | 1,222 RV | ±2.8% |
Vermont
3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castleton University Archived July 23, 2013, at the Wayback Machine | August 11–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 25% | 37 | 477 RV | ±4.5% |
| WDEV/WCAX/Vermont Business Magazine/Castleton University | May 7–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59.3% | Mitt Romney | 27.5% | 31.8 | 607 RV | ±4.0% |
| Castleton University | February 11–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 26 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
| 59% | Rick Santorum | 30% | 29 | |||||
| 58% | Ron Paul | 28% | 30 |
Virginia
13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research Archived August 10, 2021, at the Wayback Machine | August 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 855 LV | ±3.4% |
| Purple Strategies Archived October 16, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | August 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | July 31 – August 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 1,412 LV | ±2.6% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | July 16–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 25, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | July 10–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | 1,673 RV | ±2.4% |
| Purple Strategies Archived September 7, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | July 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 647 RV | ±3.9% |
| Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | June 25 – July 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 608 LV | ±4% |
| We Ask America | June 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43.3% | Mitt Romney | 48.0% | 4.7 | 1,106 LV | ±2.95% |
| Virginian Pilot/Old Dominion University | May 16 – June 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 776 RV | ±3.5% |
| Purple Strategies Archived June 7, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived August 19, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | May 30 – June 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 1,282 RV | ±2.7% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| NBC News/Marist College | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 1,076 RV | ±3.0% |
| Washington Post | April 28 – May 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 964 RV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 16 | 680 RV | ±3.8% |
| 50% | Ron Paul | 39% | 11 | |||||
| 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | |||||
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | April 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5 |
| Purple Strategies Archived May 10, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | April 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | Not reported | ±4.1% |
| Roanoke College | March 26 – April 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 603 A | ±4% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research Archived August 11, 2021, at the Wayback Machine | March 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Quinnipiac University Archived March 20, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | March 13–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 1,034 RV | ±3.1% |
| 54% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 19 | |||||
| 49% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 9 | |||||
| 49% | Ron Paul | 39% | 10 | |||||
| NBC News/Marist College | February 29 – March 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 17 | 1,273 RV | ±2.8% |
| 57% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 26 | |||||
| 54% | Rick Santorum | 32% | 22 | 1,245 RV | ||||
| 53% | Ron Paul | 32% | 21 | |||||
| Roanoke College | February 13–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 11 | 607 A | ±4% |
| 45% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 6 | |||||
| 45% | Ron Paul | 35% | 10 | |||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 1 | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | February 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| 51% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 8 | |||||
| Richmond Times-Dispatch/Muhlenberg College/Christopher Newport University | February 4–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 5 | 1,018 RV | ±3.1% |
| Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 4 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 43% | Ron Paul | 43% | Tie | ||||
| Quinnipiac University Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | February 1–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,544 RV | ±2.5% |
| 51% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 14 | |||||
| 49% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 8 | |||||
| 47% | Ron Paul | 40% | 7 | |||||
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | January 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 625 RV | ±3.9% |
| 49% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 11 |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Constitution Party | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 35% | Virgil Goode | 9% | 14 | 647 | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Virgil Goode | 5% | 12 | 680 | ±3.8% |
Washington
12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moore Information | August 6–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4% |
| KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | August 2–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 17 | 524 LV | ±4.4% |
| KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | July 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 9 | 630 RV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 14–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 13 | 1,073 RV | ±3.0% |
| Elway Research | June 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 8 | 408 RV | ±5% |
| KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | May 8–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 14 | 557 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 20 | 1,264 RV | ±2.76% |
| 53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 15 | |||||
| 51% | Ron Paul | 38% | 13 | |||||
| 52% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 12 | |||||
| KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | February 13–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 22 | 572 RV | ±4.2% |
| 50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | |||||
| 50% | Ron Paul | 37% | 13 | |||||
| 51% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 13 |
West Virginia
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.L. Repass & Partners | August 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 14 | 401 LV | ±4.9% |
| R.L. Repass & Partners | April 25–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 17 | 410 RV | ±4.8% |
Wisconsin
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | August 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,190 LV | ±3% |
| Marquette Law School | August 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 576 LV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,308 LV | ±2.7% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | August 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 920 RV | ±3.0% |
| CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University | July 31 – August 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 1,428 | ±2.6% |
| Marquette Law School | August 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 1,188 LV | ±2.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | July 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| We Ask America | July 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 1,162 LV | ±2.93% |
| Marquette Law School | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 810 LV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,057 LV | ±3.3% |
| Marquette Law School | June 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 594 LV | ±4.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | June 12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| We Ask America | June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 1,275 LV | ±2.75% |
| Marquette Law School | May 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| St. Norbert College | May 17–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 406 LV | ±5.0% |
| Daily Kos/Public Policy Polling | May 11–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 851 RV | ±3.4% |
| Marquette Law School | May 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | May 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Marquette Law School | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 705 RV | ±3.8% |
| Daily Kos/Public Policy Polling | April 13–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,136 RV | ±2.9% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | March 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 25 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| 52% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 11 | |||||
| NBC News/Marist College | March 22–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 17 | 1,391 RV | ±2.6% |
| 51% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 13 | |||||
| 51% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 12 | 1,400 RV | ||||
| 51% | Ron Paul | 36% | 15 | |||||
| Marquette Law School | March 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 707 RV | ±3.7% |
| 51% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 12 | |||||
| 53% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 17 | |||||
| 50% | Ron Paul | 40% | 10 | |||||
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | February 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| 46% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 5 | |||||
| Public Policy Polling | February 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 18 | 900 RV | ±3.27% |
| 53% | Ron Paul | 37% | 16 | |||||
| 53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | |||||
| 49% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 6 | |||||
| Marquette Law School | February 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 15 | 716 RV | ±3.7% |
| 51% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 11 | |||||
| 56% | Newt Gingrich | 33% | 23 | |||||
| 52% | Ron Paul | 36% | 16 | |||||
| Marquette Law School | January 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 | 701 RV | ±3.8% |
Three way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reason-Rupe | May 14–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 36% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 10 | 708 | ±3.7% |
See also
- Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election
- Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election
- 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries