Colonel William A. Phillips

Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2013 to December 31, 2015, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

Note some states did not conduct polling before December 31, 2015.

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[1]	September 18–21, 2014	Hillary Clinton	39%	Jeb Bush	44%	5	880	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	36%	Chris Christie	46%	10
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Ted Cruz	46%	7
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Mike Huckabee	44%	4
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Sarah Palin	38%	6
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Rand Paul	45%	5
Public Policy Polling^[2]	July 31 – August 3, 2014	Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	47%	9	673	± 3.8%
		Hillary Clinton	34%	Chris Christie	45%	11
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Mike Huckabee	47%	8
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Sarah Palin	40%	6
		Hillary Clinton	36%	Rand Paul	50%	14
Public Policy Polling^[3]	May 8–11, 2014	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	47%	6	582	± 4.1%
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Mike Huckabee	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Sarah Palin	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Rand Paul	46%	6
Public Policy Polling^[4]	January 30 – February 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton	39%	Jeb Bush	47%	8	850	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Chris Christie	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Mike Huckabee	45%	4
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Sarah Palin	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Rand Paul	47%	6
Public Policy Polling^[5]	July 25–28, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	49%	7	890	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Chris Christie	46%	8
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Sarah Palin	40%	9
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	49%	6
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Paul Ryan	47%	1
Public Policy Polling^[6]	February 4–5, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	43%	1	1,129	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Sarah Palin	37%	16
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Marco Rubio	43%	1

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Strategies 360^[7]	December 4–9, 2015	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	44%	2	504	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Marco Rubio	53%	16
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Ted Cruz	50%	10
Public Policy Polling^[8]	May 1–3, 2015	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	41%	Tied	600	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Ben Carson	42%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Chris Christie	46%	7
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ted Cruz	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Mike Huckabee	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Rand Paul	45%	5
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rick Perry	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Marco Rubio	43%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Scott Walker	44%	1
		Lincoln Chafee	26%	Scott Walker	41%	15
		Martin O'Malley	25%	Scott Walker	43%	18
		Bernie Sanders	28%	Scott Walker	43%	15
		Jim Webb	26%	Scott Walker	44%	18
Public Policy Polling^[9]	February 28 – March 2, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jan Brewer	39%	7	870	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Mike Huckabee	41%	6
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	43%	3

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing^[10]	October 21–27, 2014	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	47%	9	568	± 4.1%
Gravis Marketing^[11]	September 8–11, 2014	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	49%	7	902	± 4%
Gravis Marketing^[11]	September 8–11, 2014	Hillary Clinton	42%	Rand Paul	48%	6	902	± 4%
Public Policy Polling^[12]	September 18–24, 2014	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	46%	4	1453	2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	41%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ted Cruz	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Mike Huckabee	53%	12
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	45%	2
Public Policy Polling^[13]	August 1–3, 2014	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	46%	5	1,066	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	42%	1
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Ted Cruz	46%	4
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Mike Huckabee	55%	16
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Rand Paul	45%	3
Public Policy Polling^[14]	April 25–27, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	41%	5	840	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	38%	9
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	47%	3
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	42%	6

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Field Poll^[15]	April 23 – May 16, 2015	Hillary Clinton	52%	Jeb Bush	31%	21	435	± 5.0%
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Marco Rubio	32%	21
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Scott Walker	30%	24
Emerson College^[16]	April 2–8, 2015	Hillary Clinton	53%	Jeb Bush	47%	6	881	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	56%	Ted Cruz	45%	9
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Scott Walker	47%	6
Gravis Marketing^[17]	July 22–24, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	40%	9	580	± 4%

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[18]	November 11–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	38%	Ben Carson	52%	14	1,262	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Donald Trump	48%	11
		Hillary Clinton	36%	Marco Rubio	52%	16
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Ted Cruz	51%	13
		Bernie Sanders	40%	Ben Carson	52%	12
		Bernie Sanders	44%	Donald Trump	46%	2
		Bernie Sanders	39%	Marco Rubio	52%	13
		Bernie Sanders	42%	Ted Cruz	49%	7
Quinnipiac University^[19]	July 9–20, 2015	Hillary Clinton	36%	Jeb Bush	41%	5	1231	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Scott Walker	47%	9
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Marco Rubio	46%	8
		Joe Biden	36%	Jeb Bush	45%	9
		Joe Biden	36%	Scott Walker	48%	12
		Joe Biden	35%	Marco Rubio	49%	14
		Bernie Sanders	37%	Jeb Bush	43%	6
		Bernie Sanders	36%	Scott Walker	44%	8
		Bernie Sanders	35%	Marco Rubio	46%	11
Quinnipiac University^[20]	March 29 – April 7, 2015	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	38%	3	894	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	39%	2
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Ted Cruz	41%	1
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Mike Huckabee	41%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Rand Paul	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Marco Rubio	41%	1
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Scott Walker	42%	1
Quinnipiac University^[21]	February 5–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	36%	8	1,049	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	34%	9
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	39%	5
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	41%	2
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Scott Walker	40%	2
Public Policy Polling^[22]	July 17–20, 2014	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	40%	1	653	± 3.8%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	39%	6
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	43%	2
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	45%	1
Quinnipiac University^[23]	July 10–14, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	40%	4	1,147	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	40%	2
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	46%	3
Quinnipiac University^[24]	April 15–21, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	40%	5	1,298	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	42%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	48%	5
Public Policy Polling^[25]	March 13–16, 2014	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	39%	9	568	± 4.1%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	38%	7
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	40%	9
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Mike Huckabee	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	44%	3
Quinnipiac University^[26]	January 29 – February 2, 2014	Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	42%	1	1,139	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	47%	4
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Paul Ryan	48%	5
Public Policy Polling^[27]	December 3–4, 2013	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	43%	4	928	±3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Chris Christie	46%	7
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	47%	2
Quinnipiac University^[28]	November 15–18, 2013	Hillary Clinton	38%	Chris Christie	46%	8	1,206	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	44%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	47%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Paul Ryan	45%	2
Quinnipiac University^[29]	August 15–21, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	43%	1	1,184	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ted Cruz	42%	3
		Joe Biden	33%	Chris Christie	50%	17
		Joe Biden	39%	Ted Cruz	45%	6
Quinnipiac University^[30]	June 5–10, 2013	Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	44%	3	1,065	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Marco Rubio	46%	1
		Joe Biden	32%	Chris Christie	48%	16
		Joe Biden	35%	Marco Rubio	48%	13
Public Policy Polling^[31]	April 11–14, 2013	Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	45%	3	500	±4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	44%	4
		John Hickenlooper	47%	Rand Paul	45%	2
		John Hickenlooper	47%	Marco Rubio	45%	2

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[32]	October 7–11, 2015	Hillary Clinton	44%	Ben Carson	42%	2	1,735	± 2.4%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Carly Fiorina	40%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	40%	7
		Joe Biden	51%	Ben Carson	39%	12
		Joe Biden	53%	Carly Fiorina	36%	17
		Joe Biden	55%	Donald Trump	37%	18
		Bernie Sanders	44%	Ben Carson	41%	3
		Bernie Sanders	44%	Carly Fiorina	39%	5
		Bernie Sanders	49%	Donald Trump	40%	9
Quinnipiac University^[33]	March 6–9, 2015	Hillary Clinton	52%	Jeb Bush	34%	18	1,235	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Chris Christie	34%	18
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Ted Cruz	30%	25
		Hillary Clinton	56%	Mike Huckabee	31%	25
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Rand Paul	32%	22
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Marco Rubio	34%	19
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Scott Walker	33%	20
Public Policy Polling^[34]	October 2–5, 2014	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	37%	13	861	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Ted Cruz	32%	22
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Mike Huckabee	34%	19
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Rand Paul	35%	19
Gravis Marketing^[35]	August 4–7, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Ben Carson	36%	9	440	± 5%
Gravis Marketing^[35]	August 4–7, 2014	Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	33%	15	440	± 5%

Florida

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[36]	October 2–5, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	45%	1	895	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Herman Cain	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	41%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	41%	6
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Newt Gingrich	43%	6
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Mike Huckabee	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	44%	3
Public Policy Polling^[37]	August 2–5, 2013	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	45%	Tied	520	± 4.3%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	44%	2
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Newt Gingrich	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Sarah Palin	38%	13
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	43%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Paul Ryan	44%	3
Public Policy Polling^[38]	February 15–18, 2013	Hillary Clinton	51%	Newt Gingrich	44%	7	602	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	46%	3
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	45%	5

Idaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[39]	October 9–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton	33%	Jeb Bush	50%	17	522	± 4.3%
		Hillary Clinton	33%	Chris Christie	44%	11
		Hillary Clinton	34%	Ted Cruz	50%	16
		Hillary Clinton	34%	Mike Huckabee	52%	18
		Hillary Clinton	33%	Rand Paul	52%	19

Illinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[40]	July 20–21, 2015	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	39%	9	931	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ben Carson	37%	12
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	35%	14
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	35%	16
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Carly Fiorina	34%	15
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Mike Huckabee	35%	16
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	37%	10
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	37%	12
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Donald Trump	33%	18
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Scott Walker	39%	11
		Bernie Sanders	42%	Jeb Bush	37%	5
		Bernie Sanders	40%	Marco Rubio	34%	6
		Bernie Sanders	48%	Donald Trump	32%	16
		Bernie Sanders	40%	Scott Walker	36%	4

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Poling^[41]	December 10–13, 2015	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	41%	5	1,426	± 2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ben Carson	45%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	47%	3
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Carly Fiorina	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Marco Rubio	48%	7
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	43%	2
		Bernie Sanders	44%	Jeb Bush	40%	4
		Bernie Sanders	43%	Ben Carson	42%	1
		Bernie Sanders	44%	Ted Cruz	43%	1
		Bernie Sanders	45%	Carly Fiorina	39%	6
		Bernie Sanders	42%	Marco Rubio	44%	2
		Bernie Sanders	46%	Donald Trump	43%	3
Public Policy Poling^[42]	October 30 – November 1, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	40%	5	1,668	± 2.4%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ben Carson	47%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Ted Cruz	44%	2
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Carly Fiorina	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	44%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	John Kasich	36%	7
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Marco Rubio	45%	2
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	44%	Tied
		Bernie Sanders	41%	Jeb Bush	41%	Tied
		Bernie Sanders	37%	Ben Carson	47%	10
		Bernie Sanders	42%	Ted Cruz	43%	1
		Bernie Sanders	38%	Marco Rubio	45%	7
		Bernie Sanders	43%	Donald Trump	44%	1
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist^[43]	September 23–30, 2015	Hillary Clinton	40%	Jeb Bush	50%	10	1,061	± 3.0%
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	48%	7
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Carly Fiorina	52%	14
		Bernie Sanders	44%	Jeb Bush	46%	2
		Bernie Sanders	48%	Donald Trump	43%	5
		Bernie Sanders	42%	Carly Fiorina	45%	3
Public Policy Poling^[44]	September 18–20, 2015	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	42%	1	1,374
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Ben Carson	52%	15
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ted Cruz	43%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Carly Fiorina	47%	8
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Mike Huckabee	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	41%	John Kasich	39%	2
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Marco Rubio	45%	4
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Scott Walker	44%	1
		Joe Biden	44%	Jeb Bush	40%	4
		Joe Biden	38%	Ben Carson	47%	9
		Joe Biden	46%	Donald Trump	44%	2
		Bernie Sanders	42%	Jeb Bush	40%	2
		Bernie Sanders	34%	Ben Carson	48%	14
		Bernie Sanders	44%	Donald Trump	44%	Tied
NBC News/Marist^[45]	August 26 – September 2, 2015	Hillary Clinton	39%	Jeb Bush	50%	11	998	± 3.1%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	48%	5
		Joe Biden	44%	Jeb Bush	46%	2
		Joe Biden	49%	Donald Trump	45%	4
Public Policy Poling^[46]	August 7–9, 2015	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	40%	4	1,500	± 2.5%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Ben Carson	44%	4
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	39%	2
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	42%	2
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Carly Fiorina	40%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Mike Huckabee	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	41%	John Kasich	39%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	40%	3
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	40%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Scott Walker	44%	1
		Bernie Sanders	41%	Jeb Bush	40%	1
		Bernie Sanders	38%	Marco Rubio	39%	1
		Bernie Sanders	44%	Donald Trump	40%	4
		Bernie Sanders	40%	Scott Walker	40%	Tied
Quinnipiac University^[19]	July 9–20, 2015	Hillary Clinton	36%	Jeb Bush	42%	6	1,236	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Scott Walker	45%	8
		Hillary Clinton	36%	Marco Rubio	44%	8
		Joe Biden	37%	Jeb Bush	44%	7
		Joe Biden	36%	Scott Walker	47%	11
		Joe Biden	37%	Marco Rubio	45%	8
		Bernie Sanders	38%	Jeb Bush	42%	4
		Bernie Sanders	36%	Scott Walker	44%	8
		Bernie Sanders	36%	Marco Rubio	43%	7
Public Policy Polling^[47]	April 23–26, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	42%	3	1,219	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ben Carson	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	40%	5
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	42%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	44%	2
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	43%	2
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rick Perry	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	44%	2
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Scott Walker	41%	7
		Lincoln Chafee	29%	Scott Walker	39%	10
		Martin O'Malley	32%	Scott Walker	38%	6
		Bernie Sanders	34%	Scott Walker	39%	5
		Jim Webb	32%	Scott Walker	39%	7
Gravis Marketing^[48]	April 13, 2015	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	40%	3	1,259	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ben Carson	37%	8
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	39%	3
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Carly Fiorina	37%	7
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Condoleezza Rice	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Marco Rubio	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	41%	5
Quinnipiac University^[20]	March 29 – April 7, 2015	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	40%	1	948	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	39%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ted Cruz	40%	3
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Mike Huckabee	42%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Rand Paul	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Marco Rubio	40%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Scott Walker	40%	4
Quinnipiac University^[21]	February 5–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	35%	10	1,089	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	34%	10
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	38%	7
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	37%	8
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Scott Walker	35%	10
Gravis Marketing^[49]	February 12–13, 2015	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	37%	6	343	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	35%	10
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	40%	5
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	39%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Scott Walker	41%	6
NBC News/Marist^[50]	February 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	40%	8	891	± 3.3%
NBC News/Marist^[50]	February 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	38%	11	891	± 3.3%
Ipsos/Reuters^[51]	October 23–29, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	36%	8	1,129	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Chris Christie	37%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	36%	7
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Paul Ryan	41%	1
		Joe Biden	33%	Jeb Bush	40%	7
		Joe Biden	30%	Chris Christie	41%	11
		Joe Biden	33%	Rand Paul	39%	6
		Joe Biden	32%	Paul Ryan	45%	13
		Andrew Cuomo	30%	Jeb Bush	36%	6
		Andrew Cuomo	24%	Chris Christie	39%	15
		Andrew Cuomo	30%	Rand Paul	37%	7
		Andrew Cuomo	27%	Paul Ryan	41%	14
Gravis Marketing^[52]	October 20–21, 2014	Hillary Clinton	42.6%	Jeb Bush	43.5%	0.9	964	± 3%
Gravis Marketing^[52]	October 20–21, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Paul Ryan	44%	1	964	± 3%
Gravis Marketing^[53]	September 29–30, 2014	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	41%	Tied	522	± 4%
Gravis Marketing^[53]	September 29–30, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Paul Ryan	44%	Tied	522	± 4%
Public Policy Polling^[54]	September 25–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	43%	Tied	1,192	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	41%	4
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	39%	8
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	42%	5
NBC News/Marist^[55]	July 7–13, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	42%	4	753	± 3.6%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	43%	1	753	± 3.6%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	37%	12	832	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	45%	Tied	753	± 3.6%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	40%	9	832	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Scott Walker	37%	13	832	± 3.4%
Quinnipiac University^[56]	June 12–16, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	36%	13	1,277	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	36%	8
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	39%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	40%	6
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Paul Ryan	41%	6
Loras College^[57]	June 4–5, 2014	Hillary Clinton	48.7%	Jeb Bush	38.2%	5	600	± 4.0%
		Hillary Clinton	47.5%	Chris Christie	39%	8.5
		Hillary Clinton	49.7%	Mike Huckabee	39.8%	9.9
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Rand Paul	37.5%	14.5
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	38.7%	11.3
Public Policy Polling^[58]	May 15–19, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	39%	5	914	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	39%	6
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	42%	4
Quinnipiac University^[59]	March 5–10, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	37%	14	1,411	± 2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Chris Christie	35%	13
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	35%	16
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	39%	10
Public Policy Polling^[60]	February 20–23, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	41%	4	869	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	39%	6
Quinnipiac University^[61]	December 10–15, 2013	Hillary Clinton	40%	Chris Christie	45%	5	1,617	± 2.4%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	41%	4
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	41%	7
Harper Polling^[62]	November 23–24, 2013	Hillary Clinton	38.12%	Chris Christie	43.35%	5.23	985	± 3.12%
		Hillary Clinton	46.40%	Paul Ryan	42.57%	3.83
		Hillary Clinton	45.21%	Marco Rubio	40.79%	4.42
		Hillary Clinton	46.82%	Rand Paul	41.06%	5.76
		Hillary Clinton	47.37%	Ted Cruz	40.45%	6.92
Quinnipiac University^[63]	July 15–17, 2013	Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	41%	Tied	1,256	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	39%	7
		Joe Biden	32%	Chris Christie	49%	17
		Joe Biden	39%	Scott Walker	42%	3
Public Policy Polling^[64]	July 5–7, 2013	Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	36%	7	668	± 3.8%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Paul Ryan	40%	9
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	37%	11
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Marco Rubio	35%	12
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	36%	14
Quinnipiac University^[65]	May 15–21, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	42%	4	1,411	± 2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	37%	11
		Joe Biden	39%	Rand Paul	44%	5
		Joe Biden	39%	Marco Rubio	40%	1
Public Policy Polling^[66]	January 31–February 3, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	41%	5	800	± 3.5%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	43%	6
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	44%	6
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	41%	8
		Joe Biden	44%	Chris Christie	44%	Tied
		Joe Biden	48%	Jeb Bush	45%	3
		Joe Biden	49%	Paul Ryan	45%	4
		Joe Biden	48%	Marco Rubio	43%	5

Three-way race

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Independent/ Third-party candidate	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Poling^[41]	December 10–13, 2015	Hillary Clinton	41%	Ted Cruz	33%	Donald Trump	20%	8	1,426	± 2.6%
Public Policy Poling^[41]	December 10–13, 2015	Hillary Clinton	39%	Marco Rubio	33%	Donald Trump	23%	6	1,426	± 2.6%
Public Policy Poling^[42]	October 30 – November 1, 2015	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	40%	Jim Webb	9%	1	1,668	± 2.4%
Public Policy Polling^[44]	September 18–20, 2015	Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	26%	Donald Trump	27%	11	1,374
Public Policy Polling^[46]	August 7–9, 2015	Hillary Clinton	39%	Jeb Bush	30%	Donald Trump	21%	9	1,500	2.5%

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing^[67]	October 20–21, 2014	Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	49%	11	1,124	± 3%
Gravis Marketing^[67]	October 20–21, 2014	Hillary Clinton	37%	Rand Paul	50%	13	1,124	± 3%
Public Policy Polling^[68]	October 9–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton	37%	Jeb Bush	48%	11	1,081	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Chris Christie	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Ted Cruz	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Mike Huckabee	47%	6
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Rand Paul	45%	5
Gravis Marketing^[69]	September 30 – October 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	49%	11	850	± 3%
Gravis Marketing^[69]	September 30 – October 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton	38%	Rand Paul	48%	10	850	± 3%
Public Policy Polling^[70]	September 11–14, 2014	Hillary Clinton	40%	Jeb Bush	46%	6	1,328	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Chris Christie	42%	2
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Mike Huckabee	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Rand Paul	43%	2
Public Policy Polling^[71]	August 14–17, 2014	Hillary Clinton	39%	Jeb Bush	45%	6	903	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Chris Christie	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Ted Cruz	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Mike Huckabee	46%	5
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Rand Paul	45%	4
Public Policy Polling^[72]	February 18–20, 2014	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	50%	9	693	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Chris Christie	46%	7
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Mike Huckabee	49%	7
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Rand Paul	48%	7
Public Policy Polling^[73]	February 21–24, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	47%	5	1,229	±2.8%
Public Policy Polling^[73]	February 21–24, 2013	Hillary Clinton	43%	Paul Ryan	50%	7	1,229	±2.8%

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[74]	June 18–21, 2015	Hillary Clinton	40%	Jeb Bush	48%	8	1,108	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Ben Carson	49%	9
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Ted Cruz	48%	6
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Carly Fiorina	45%	5
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Mike Huckabee	49%	10
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Rand Paul	50%	10
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Marco Rubio	46%	5
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Scott Walker	46%	5
		Lincoln Chafee	23%	Scott Walker	41%	18
		Martin O'Malley	22%	Scott Walker	40%	18
		Bernie Sanders	29%	Scott Walker	42%	13
		Jim Webb	22%	Scott Walker	42%	20
Gravis Marketing^[75]	October 11–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	48%	3	1,020	± 3%
Gravis Marketing^[75]	October 11–12, 2014	Elizabeth Warren	36%	Rand Paul	49%	13	1,020	± 3%
Public Policy Polling^[76]	August 7–10, 2014	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	48%	5	991	± 3.1%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Ted Cruz	41%	5
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	47%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	49%	6
Gravis Marketing^[77]	July 17–20, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	50%	6	1,054	± 3%
Gravis Marketing^[77]	July 17–20, 2014	Elizabeth Warren	34%	Rand Paul	52%	18	1,054	± 3%
SurveyUSA^[78]	May 14–16, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	48%	4	1,782	± 2.4%
Public Policy Polling^[79]	December 12–15, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	46%	4	1,509	± 2.5%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Chris Christie	44%	4
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	49%	6
Public Policy Polling^[80]	April 5–7, 2013	Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	45%	Tied	1,052	± 3%
Public Policy Polling^[80]	April 5–7, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	40%	6	1,052	± 3%

Louisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
WWL-TV/Clarus^[81]	September 20–23, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Bobby Jindal	42%	3	800	± 3.46%
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	56%	18
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	47%	8
Public Policy Polling^[82]	September 25–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	49%	8	1,141	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	42%	2
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	47%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Mike Huckabee	50%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Bobby Jindal	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	47%	4
Gravis Marketing^[83]	September 5–9, 2014	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	48%	5	426	± 5%
Gravis Marketing^[83]	September 5–9, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	45%	1	426	± 5%
Public Policy Polling^[84]	June 26–29, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	46%	1	664	± 3.8%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Ted Cruz	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	46%	1
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Bobby Jindal	44%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	46%	Tied
Magellan Strategies^[85]	March 24–26, 2014	Hillary Clinton	40.4%	Bobby Jindal	45%	4.6	600	± 4.1%
Public Policy Polling^[86]	February 6–9, 2014	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	50%	7	635	± 3.9%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	49%	5
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Bobby Jindal	47%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	47%	4
Public Policy Polling^[87]	August 16–19, 2013	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	44%	Tied	721	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	41%	1
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Bobby Jindal	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Paul Ryan	46%	2
Harper Polling^[88]	August 14–15, 2013	Hillary Clinton	44%	Bobby Jindal	42%	2	596	± 4.01%
Public Policy Polling^[89]	February 8–12, 2013	Hillary Clinton	48%	Bobby Jindal	45%	3	603	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Paul Ryan	46%	Tied

Maine

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[90]	November 8–11, 2013	Hillary Clinton	55%	Jeb Bush	32%	23	964	±3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	39%	8
		Hillary Clinton	57%	Ted Cruz	30%	27
		Hillary Clinton	57%	Rand Paul	32%	25

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing^[91]	October 6–9, 2014	Hillary Clinton	52%	Jeb Bush	35%	17	784	± 3.5%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	34%	17
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Paul Ryan	36%	15

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Western New England University^[92]	October 1–8, 2015	Hillary Clinton	64%	Donald Trump	27%	37	425	± 5%
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Jeb Bush	31%	27
		Hillary Clinton	61%	Carly Fiorina	29%	32
		Bernie Sanders	63%	Donald Trump	28%	35
		Bernie Sanders	57%	Jeb Bush	30%	27
		Hillary Clinton	59%	Carly Fiorina	29%	30
Emerson College^[93]	March 14–19, 2015	Hillary Clinton	59%	Jeb Bush	38%	21	797	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	60%	Rand Paul	36%	24
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Scott Walker	38%	20

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research^[94]	September 27, 2015	Hillary Clinton	40%	Marco Rubio	43%	3%	1,483	± 2.5%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	42%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	37%	5
FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research^[95]	August 10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	40%	1%	1,310	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Jeb Bush	41%	1%
		Hillary Clinton	36%	Marco Rubio	45%	9%
Public Policy Polling^[96]	June 25–28, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	38%	9	1,072	± 3.0%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ben Carson	41%	8
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	38%	6
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Carly Fiorina	38%	8
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Mike Huckabee	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	40%	6
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	42%	4
		Lincoln Chafee	31%	Scott Walker	36%	5
		Martin O'Malley	32%	Scott Walker	37%	5
		Bernie Sanders	35%	Scott Walker	39%	4
		Jim Webb	31%	Scott Walker	38%	7
Public Policy Polling^[97]	September 4–7, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	38%	11	687	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Chris Christie	36%	12
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	37%	14
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Mike Huckabee	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	39%	10
Public Policy Polling^[98]	June 26–29, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	37%	10	578	± 4.1%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Chris Christie	35%	13
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Ted Cruz	34%	16
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Mike Huckabee	36%	12
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	37%	10
Public Policy Polling^[99]	April 3–6, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	38%	11	825	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	37%	9
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Mike Huckabee	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	39%	9
Marketing Resource Group^[100]	March 24–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	38%	6	600	± 4.1%
EPIC-MRA^[101]	February 5–11, 2014	Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	39%	4	600	± 4%
Harper Polling^[102]	January 7–8, 2014	Hillary Clinton	40%	Chris Christie	38%	2	1,004	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Ted Cruz	36%	10
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	40%	5
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Paul Ryan	41%	3
Public Policy Polling^[103]	December 5–8, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	42%	4	1,034	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	40%	3
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	38%	11
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	39%	9
Public Policy Polling^[104]	May 30 – June 2, 2013	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	37%	14	697	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	38%	6
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Rand Paul	35%	20
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Marco Rubio	36%	17
Public Policy Polling^[105]	March 2–4, 2013	Hillary Clinton	51%	Marco Rubio	37%	14	702	± 3.7%
Public Policy Polling^[105]	March 2–4, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Paul Ryan	41%	11	702	± 3.7%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV Minneapolis^[106]	October 29 – November 2, 2015	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	45%	3	516	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Ben Carson	50%	9
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Marco Rubio	47%	6
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Ted Cruz	41%	5
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Carly Fiorina	45%	4
Public Policy Polling^[107]	July 30 – August 2, 2015	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	42%	2	1015	± 3.1%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ben Carson	39%	5
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	38%	5
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	39%	5
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Carly Fiorina	33%	11
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	42%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	42%	1
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	40%	2
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	39%	5
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	42%	4
		Bernie Sanders	40%	Jeb Bush	41%	1
		Bernie Sanders	39%	Marco Rubio	37%	2
		Bernie Sanders	45%	Donald Trump	37%	8
		Bernie Sanders	41%	Scott Walker	40%	1
Public Policy Polling^[108]	June 12–15, 2014	Hillary Clinton	52%	Michele Bachmann	35%	17	633	± 3.9%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	37%	10
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	35%	16
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Mike Huckabee	40%	10
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	38%	11
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Tim Pawlenty	42%	6
Public Policy Polling^[109]	January 18–20, 2013	Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	38%	6	1,065	± 3%
		Amy Klobuchar	42%	Chris Christie	39%	3
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Marco Rubio	37%	13
		Amy Klobuchar	48%	Marco Rubio	36%	12

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Independent/ Third-party candidate	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[107]	July 30 – August 2, 2015	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	26%	Donald Trump	25%	15	1015	3.1%

Mississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[110]	July 10–13, 2014	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	47%	5	691	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	44%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Mike Huckabee	49%	7
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	45%	2
Public Policy Polling^[111]	November 15–17, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	50%	8	502	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Chris Christie	49%	9
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ted Cruz	47%	2
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	46%	2

Missouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling ^[112]	August 7–9, 2015	Hillary Clinton	40%	Jeb Bush	47%	7	859	3.3
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Ben Carson	52%	14
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Chris Christie	46%	9
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Ted Cruz	50%	12
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Carly Fiorina	47%	10
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Mike Huckabee	51%	13
		Hillary Clinton	36%	John Kasich	49%	13
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Rand Paul	49%	12
		Hillary Clinton	36%	Marco Rubio	51%	15
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	48%	9
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Scott Walker	50%	13
		Bernie Sanders	34%	Jeb Bush	47%	13
		Bernie Sanders	33%	Marco Rubio	48%	15
		Bernie Sanders	39%	Donald Trump	48%	9

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Independent/ Third-party candidate	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling ^[112]	August 7–9, 2015	Hillary Clinton	34%	Jeb Bush	29%	Donald Trump	30%	4	859	3.3

Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Montana State University Billings^[113]	November 16–23, 2015	Hillary Clinton	30%	Donald Trump	51.4%	21.4	435	± 4.8%
		Hillary Clinton	28.8%	Ben Carson	60.5%	31.7
		Hillary Clinton	28.8%	Marco Rubio	57.2%	28.4
		Hillary Clinton	30.6%	Ted Cruz	55.9%	25.3
		Bernie Sanders	40.1%	Donald Trump	46.2%	6.1
		Bernie Sanders	30.8%	Ben Carson	53.7%	22.9
		Bernie Sanders	33.3%	Marco Rubio	47.9%	14.6
		Bernie Sanders	35.8%	Ted Cruz	46%	10.2
Gravis Marketing^[114]	February 24–25, 2015	Hillary Clinton	35.4%	Jeb Bush	48.5%	13.1	1,035	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	33.3%	Chris Christie	49.5%	16.2
		Hillary Clinton	33%	Mike Huckabee	50%	17
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Rand Paul	48%	10
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Scott Walker	49%	12
Gravis Marketing^[115]	November 24–25, 2014	Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	50%	12	836	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Ted Cruz	52%	13
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Nikki Haley	45%	8
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Rand Paul	55%	18
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Paul Ryan	54%	16
Gravis Marketing^[116]	October 23–24, 2014	Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	43%	5	604	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Rand Paul	48%	9
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Paul Ryan	46%	7
Gravis Marketing^[117]	September 29–30, 2014	Hillary Clinton	36%	Jeb Bush	45%	9	535	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Rand Paul	46%	8
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Paul Ryan	51%	14
Gravis Marketing^[118]	July 20–22, 2014	Hillary Clinton	39%	Jeb Bush	49%	10	741	± 4%
Public Policy Polling^[119]	November 15–17, 2013	Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	49%	11	952	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	34%	Chris Christie	51%	17
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Ted Cruz	50%	11
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Rand Paul	52%	13
		Brian Schweitzer	41%	Jeb Bush	46%	5
		Brian Schweitzer	39%	Chris Christie	47%	8
		Brian Schweitzer	43%	Ted Cruz	46%	3
		Brian Schweitzer	42%	Rand Paul	50%	8
Public Policy Polling^[120]	June 21–23, 2013	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	45%	Tied	807	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Chris Christie	45%	5
		Brian Schweitzer	48%	Jeb Bush	41%	7
		Brian Schweitzer	42%	Chris Christie	41%	1
Public Policy Polling^[121]	February 15–17, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	50%	8	1,011	± 3.1%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Paul Ryan	51%	7
		Brian Schweitzer	46%	Marco Rubio	46%	Tied
		Brian Schweitzer	45%	Paul Ryan	49%	4

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Morning Consult^[122]	November 10–16, 2015	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	44%	3	628 RV	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	38%	6
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ben Carson	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	42%	Tie
Public Policy Polling^[123]	July 13–14, 2015	Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	43%	5	677	± 3.8%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	42%	6
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Scott Walker	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	37%	12
Gravis Marketing^[124]	March 27, 2015	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	38%	10	850	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Chris Christie	38%	10
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	42%	8
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	41%	8
Gravis Marketing^[125]	February 21–22, 2015	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	37%	13	955	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	38%	9
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	42%	7
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Brian Sandoval	46%	3
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	43%	6
Harper Polling^[126]	July 26–29, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	41%	5	602	± 3.99%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Susana Martínez	35%	13
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	44%	3

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[127]	November 30 – December 2, 2015	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	41%	2	990	± 3.1%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ben Carson	43%	2
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	39%	8
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Carly Fiorina	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Marco Rubio	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	41%	6
		Bernie Sanders	47%	Jeb Bush	38%	9
		Bernie Sanders	46%	Ben Carson	41%	5
		Bernie Sanders	48%	Ted Cruz	38%	10
		Bernie Sanders	48%	Carly Fiorina	40%	8
		Bernie Sanders	45%	Marco Rubio	41%	4
		Bernie Sanders	49%	Donald Trump	40%	9
Fox News^[128]	November 15–17, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	40%	7	804	± 3.5%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Carly Fiorina	43%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ben Carson	45%	2
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	40%	John Kasich	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Marco Rubio	47%	7
Public Policy Polling^[129]	October 16–18, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	41%	4	880	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ben Carson	42%	6
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Ted Cruz	38%	13
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Carly Fiorina	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Mike Huckabee	35%	16
		Hillary Clinton	44%	John Kasich	44%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	42%	6
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	41%	6
		Joe Biden	48%	Ben Carson	39%	9
		Joe Biden	47%	Marco Rubio	40%	7
		Joe Biden	51%	Donald Trump	40%	11
		Bernie Sanders	47%	Ben Carson	39%	8
		Bernie Sanders	45%	Marco Rubio	41%	4
		Bernie Sanders	49%	Donald Trump	40%	9
NBC News/Wall Street Journal^[130]	September 23–30, 2015	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	49%	7	1,044	± 3.0%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Carly Fiorina	50%	8
		Bernie Sanders	46%	Jeb Bush	46%	Tied
		Bernie Sanders	52%	Donald Trump	42%	10
		Bernie Sanders	47%	Carly Fiorina	45%	2
CNN/WMUR^[131]	September 17–23, 2015	Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	42%	8	820	± 3.6%
		Bernie Sanders	57%	Donald Trump	37%	20
		Joe Biden	56%	Donald Trump	37%	19
NBC News/Marist^[132]	August 26 – September 2, 2015	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	48%	5	966	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	45%	1
		Joe Biden	45%	Jeb Bush	46%	1
		Joe Biden	50%	Donald Trump	41%	9
Public Policy Polling^[133]	August 21–24, 2015	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	39%	7	841	± 3.4%
		Bernie Sanders	46%	Jeb Bush	38%	8
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ben Carson	40%	8
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	38%	8
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	38%	11
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Carly Fiorina	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	36%	13
		Hillary Clinton	41%	John Kasich	43%	2
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	37%	10
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Marco Rubio	39%	8
		Bernie Sanders	48%	Marco Rubio	35%	13
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Donald Trump	44%	2
		Bernie Sanders	50%	Donald Trump	41%	9
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Scott Walker	39%	8
		Bernie Sanders	47%	Scott Walker	39%	8
University of New Hampshire/WMUR^[134]	July 22–30, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	46%	1	722	± 3.8%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	45%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Scott Walker	45%	2
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Marco Rubio	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	40%	10
Purple Insights^[135]	May 2–6, 2015	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	42%	2	952	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Marco Rubio	42%	2
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	40%	6
University of New Hampshire/WMUR^[136]	April 24 – May 1, 2015	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	47%	6	627	± 3.9%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Ted Cruz	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	47%	4
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	47%	5
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Scott Walker	44%	Tied
Dartmouth College^[137]	April 27–30, 2015	Hillary Clinton	34.1%	Jeb Bush	36.9%	2.8	355	± 5.2%
		Hillary Clinton	36.5%	Chris Christie	34.4%	2.1
		Hillary Clinton	36.9%	Ted Cruz	28.7%	8.2
		Hillary Clinton	38.1%	Mike Huckabee	31.1%	7
		Hillary Clinton	36.1%	Rand Paul	33.3%	2.8
		Hillary Clinton	34.5%	Marco Rubio	34.4%	0.1
		Hillary Clinton	34.8%	Scott Walker	38.7%	3.9
Gravis Marketing^[138]	April 21–22, 2015	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	42%	Tied	1,117	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	41%	2
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Marco Rubio	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Scott Walker	47%	3
Public Policy Polling^[139]	April 9–13, 2015	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	36%	13	747	± 3.6%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ben Carson	38%	13
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Chris Christie	36%	15
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Ted Cruz	37%	15
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Mike Huckabee	38%	13
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	40%	9
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rick Perry	38%	13
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Marco Rubio	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	40%	9
		Joe Biden	44%	Scott Walker	40%	4
		Elizabeth Warren	45%	Scott Walker	40%	5
Gravis Marketing^[140]	March 18–19, 2015	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	40%	3	?	± ?
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	43%	3
NBC News/Marist^[141]	February 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	42%	6	887	± 3.3%
NBC News/Marist^[141]	February 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	42%	7	887	± 3.3%
Purple Insights^[142]	January 31 – February 5, 2015	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	36%	14	503	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Scott Walker	37%	13
University of New Hampshire/WMUR^[143]	January 22 – February 3, 2015	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	39%	12	776	± 3.5%
University of New Hampshire/WMUR^[143]	January 22 – February 3, 2015	Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	40%	10	776	± 3.5%
Purple Insights^[144]	November 12–18, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	39%	8	500	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mitt Romney	45%	1
NBC News/Marist^[55]	July 7–13, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	42%	5	1,342	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	38%	13
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Marco Rubio	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Scott Walker	39%	9
Dartmouth College^[145]	April 21–25, 2014	Hillary Clinton	42.1%	Jeb Bush	32.2%	9.9	412	± 4.8%
		Hillary Clinton	36.5%	Chris Christie	34.4%	2.1
		Hillary Clinton	38.3%	Mike Huckabee	36.2%	2.1
		Hillary Clinton	35.8%	Rand Paul	38.4%	2.6
Purple Strategies^[146]	January 21–23, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	42%	4	1,052	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	44%	2
		Elizabeth Warren	35%	Jeb Bush	46%	11
		Elizabeth Warren	33%	Chris Christie	45%	12
Public Policy Polling^[147]	January 9–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	38%	11	1,354	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	39%	4
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	32%	19
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	37%	13
Public Policy Polling^[148]	September 13–16, 2013	Hillary Clinton	50%	Kelly Ayotte	42%	8	1,038	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	40%	9
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	39%	4
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Ted Cruz	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	41%	10
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	41%	9
Dartmouth College^[149]	April 22–25, 2013	Hillary Clinton	37.1%	Chris Christie	32.3%	4.8	433	± 4.7%
Dartmouth College^[149]	April 22–25, 2013	Hillary Clinton	44.3%	Marco Rubio	33.2%	11.1	433	± 4.7%
Public Policy Polling^[150]	April 19–21, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Rand Paul	41%	11	933	± 3.2%
Public Policy Polling^[150]	April 19–21, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Marco Rubio	38%	14	933	± 3.2%

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Independent/ Third-party candidate	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling ^[133]	August 21–24, 2015	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	22%	Donald Trump	28%	15	957	3.2%

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[151]	April 9–14, 2015	Hillary Clinton	53%	Jeb Bush	33%	20	1,428	± 2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Chris Christie	36%	15
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Ted Cruz	30%	28
		Hillary Clinton	56%	Mike Huckabee	30%	26
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Rand Paul	34%	20
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Marco Rubio	34%	20
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Scott Walker	32%	22
Rutgers-Eagleton^[152]	February 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	58%	Jeb Bush	32%	26	694	± 4.2%
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Chris Christie	35%	23
		Hillary Clinton	60%	Scott Walker	29%	31
Quinnipiac University^[153]	January 15–19, 2015	Hillary Clinton	53%	Jeb Bush	37%	16	1,211	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Chris Christie	39%	13
		Hillary Clinton	56%	Mike Huckabee	33%	23
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Rand Paul	35%	19
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Mitt Romney	38%	15
Rutgers-Eagleton^[154]	December 3–10, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	39%	10	646	± 3.9%
Quinnipiac University^[155]	December 3–8, 2014	Hillary Clinton	53%	Jeb Bush	31%	22	1,340	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Chris Christie	39%	11
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Rand Paul	31%	24
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Mitt Romney	35%	17
Quinnipiac University^[156]	September 25–29, 2014	Hillary Clinton	53%	Jeb Bush	32%	21	1,475	± 2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Chris Christie	40%	10
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Rand Paul	31%	24
Fairleigh Dickinson University^[157]	September 1–7, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	32%	19	721	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	33%	15
Rutgers-Eagleton^[158]	July 28 – August 5, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Chris Christie	40%	11	750	± 4%
Quinnipiac University^[159]	July 31 – August 4, 2014	Hillary Clinton	54%	Jeb Bush	34%	20	1,148	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Chris Christie	42%	8
		Hillary Clinton	57%	Mike Huckabee	34%	23
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Rand Paul	35%	20
Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College^[160]	February 22–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Chris Christie	41%	10	842	± 3.6%
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Rand Paul	29%	29
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Paul Ryan	33%	25
Rutgers-Eagleton^[161]	January 22, 2014	Hillary Clinton	55%	Chris Christie	34%	21	?	± ?
Monmouth University^[162]	December 4–8, 2013	Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	46%	3	698/802	± 3.5%
Monmouth University^[162]	December 4–8, 2013	Andrew Cuomo	33%	Chris Christie	52%	19	698/802	± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University^[163]	September 23–29, 2013	Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	36%	13	1,497	± 2.5%
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Rand Paul	36%	17
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Ted Cruz	31%	23
Pulse Opinion Research^[164]	September 19, 2013	Hillary Clinton	48%	Chris Christie	43%	5	1,000	± ?
NBC News/Marist^[165]	April 28 – May 2, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Chris Christie	41%	11	1,095	± 3%
NBC News/Marist^[165]	April 28 – May 2, 2013	Joe Biden	40%	Chris Christie	51%	11	1,095	± 3%
Quinnipiac University^[166]	February 13–17, 2013	Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	45%	4	1,149	± 2.9%
Quinnipiac University^[166]	February 13–17, 2013	Andrew Cuomo	36%	Chris Christie	54%	18	1,149	± 2.9%
Public Policy Polling^[167]	November 26–28, 2012	Hillary Clinton	52%	Chris Christie	40%	12	600	± 4%
		Joe Biden	41%	Chris Christie	47%	6
		Andrew Cuomo	35%	Chris Christie	50%	15

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing^[168]	September 27 – October 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	36%	14	727	± 4%
Gravis Marketing^[168]	September 27 – October 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	36%	13	727	± 4%
Public Policy Polling^[169]	March 20–23, 2014	Hillary Clinton	53%	Jeb Bush	37%	16	674	± 3.8%
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Chris Christie	35%	18
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Ted Cruz	37%	17
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Mike Huckabee	34%	21
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Susana Martinez	39%	14
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	36%	15

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Siena College^[170]	September 14–17, 2015	Hillary Clinton	53%	Jeb Bush	36%	17	817	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Ben Carson	40%	12
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Donald Trump	36%	19
		Joe Biden	59%	Jeb Bush	30%	29
		Joe Biden	55%	Ben Carson	35%	20
		Joe Biden	60%	Donald Trump	33%	27
		Bernie Sanders	52%	Jeb Bush	33%	19
		Bernie Sanders	46%	Ben Carson	39%	7
		Bernie Sanders	52%	Donald Trump	38%	14
Siena College^[171]	March 11–16, 2015	Hillary Clinton	55%	Jeb Bush	32%	23	785	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Chris Christie	34%	20
		Hillary Clinton	59%	Ted Cruz	26%	33
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Rand Paul	29%	29
		Hillary Clinton	59%	Marco Rubio	30%	29
Quinnipiac University^[172]	March 11–16, 2015	Hillary Clinton	58%	Jeb Bush	30%	28	1,228	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Chris Christie	34%	20
		Hillary Clinton	60%	Ted Cruz	27%	33
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Mike Huckabee	29%	29
		Hillary Clinton	55%	George Pataki	34%	21
		Hillary Clinton	59%	Rand Paul	31%	28
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Marco Rubio	31%	27
		Hillary Clinton	58%	Scott Walker	31%	27
Quinnipiac University^[173]	August 14–17, 2014	Hillary Clinton	60%	Jeb Bush	29%	31	1,034	± 3.1%
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Chris Christie	34%	20
		Hillary Clinton	61%	Rand Paul	30%	31
		Andrew Cuomo	53%	Jeb Bush	30%	23
		Andrew Cuomo	47%	Chris Christie	37%	10
		Andrew Cuomo	55%	Rand Paul	31%	24
Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College^[174]	February 22–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	64%	Chris Christie	28%	36	814	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	67%	Rand Paul	24%	43
		Hillary Clinton	64%	Paul Ryan	27%	37
Quinnipiac University Archived 2014-02-14 at the Wayback Machine	February 6–10, 2014	Hillary Clinton	58%	Chris Christie	31%	27	1,488	± 2.5%
	February 6–10, 2014	Andrew Cuomo	50%	Chris Christie	34%	16	1,488	± 2.5%
Siena College	January 12–16, 2014	Hillary Clinton	60%	Chris Christie	32%	28	808	± 3.4%
Siena College	January 12–16, 2014	Andrew Cuomo	55%	Chris Christie	35%	20	808	± 3.4%
Marist	November 18–20, 2013	Hillary Clinton	57%	Chris Christie	39%	18	675	± 3.8%
Marist	November 18–20, 2013	Andrew Cuomo	51%	Chris Christie	44%	7	675	± 3.8%
Siena College	November 8–11, 2013	Hillary Clinton	56%	Chris Christie	40%	16	806	± 3.5%
Siena College	November 8–11, 2013	Andrew Cuomo	42%	Chris Christie	47%	5	806	± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University	March 11–17, 2013	Hillary Clinton	59%	Chris Christie	32%	27	1,165	± 2.9%
Quinnipiac University	March 11–17, 2013	Andrew Cuomo	46%	Chris Christie	38%	8	1,165	± 2.9%

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	December 5–7, 2015	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	43%	Tied	1,214	2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Ben Carson	47%	6
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ted Cruz	47%	4
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Carly Fiorina	44%	2
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	46%	4
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	47%	4
		Bernie Sanders	39%	Jeb Bush	42%	3
		Bernie Sanders	37%	Ben Carson	46%	9
		Bernie Sanders	42%	Ted Cruz	44%	2
		Bernie Sanders	40%	Carly Fiorina	40%	Tied
		Bernie Sanders	39%	Marco Rubio	44%	5
		Bernie Sanders	44%	Donald Trump	46%	2
Public Policy Polling	October 23–25, 2015	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	43%	3	893	3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ben Carson	49%	6
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ted Cruz	46%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Carly Fiorina	45%	2
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	48%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	John Kasich	43%	2
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	48%	6
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	48%	6
		Bernie Sanders	40%	Jeb Bush	46%	6
		Bernie Sanders	37%	Ben Carson	48%	11
		Bernie Sanders	41%	Ted Cruz	45%	4
		Bernie Sanders	41%	Donald Trump	48%	7
Public Policy Polling ^[175]	September 24–27, 2015	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	46%	5	1,268	2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Ben Carson	51%	10
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ted Cruz	46%	3
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Carly Fiorina	48%	7
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Mike Huckabee	48%	7
		Hillary Clinton	40%	John Kasich	44%	4
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Marco Rubio	50%	10
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	47%	5
		Joe Biden	47%	Jeb Bush	42%	5
		Joe Biden	44%	Ben Carson	47%	3
		Joe Biden	44%	Carly Fiorina	45%	1
		Joe Biden	45%	Donald Trump	45%	Tied
		Bernie Sanders	39%	Jeb Bush	45%	6
		Bernie Sanders	35%	Ben Carson	48%	13
		Bernie Sanders	37%	Carly Fiorina	46%	9
		Bernie Sanders	43%	Donald Trump	46%	3
Elon University Archived 2015-09-25 at the Wayback Machine	September 17–23, 2015	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	46%	3	1,075	2.99%
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Ben Carson	52%	11
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	40%	7
Public Policy Polling ^[176]	August 12–16, 2015	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	42%	Tied	957	3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Ben Carson	47%	7
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Chris Christie	39%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ted Cruz	45%	2
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Carly Fiorina	42%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	46%	2
		Hillary Clinton	40%	John Kasich	41%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	40%	4
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Marco Rubio	45%	4
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Scott Walker	44%	3
		Bernie Sanders	40%	Jeb Bush	43%	3
		Bernie Sanders	36%	Marco Rubio	42%	6
		Bernie Sanders	40%	Donald Trump	43%	3
		Bernie Sanders	37%	Scott Walker	41%	4
Public Policy Polling^[177]	July 2–6, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	43%	2	529	± 4.3%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ben Carson	47%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	46%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Carly Fiorina	45%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	49%	4
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	46%	1
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	47%	1
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Scott Walker	47%	4
		Lincoln Chafee	29%	Scott Walker	43%	14
		Martin O'Malley	29%	Scott Walker	45%	16
		Bernie Sanders	35%	Scott Walker	43%	8
		Jim Webb	31%	Scott Walker	44%	13
Public Policy Polling^[178]	May 28–31, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	40%	7	561	± 4.1%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Ben Carson	44%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	40%	3
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	42%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Carly Fiorina	40%	6
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	44%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Scott Walker	45%	Tied
		Lincoln Chafee	29%	Scott Walker	42%	13
		Martin O'Malley	28%	Scott Walker	44%	16
		Bernie Sanders	33%	Scott Walker	43%	10
		Jim Webb	31%	Scott Walker	42%	11
SurveyUSA	April 22–27, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	43%	2	1,070	± 3.1%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	41%	5
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Scott Walker	39%	9
Elon University Archived 2015-05-05 at the Wayback Machine	April 20–24, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47.4%	Jeb Bush	44%	3.4	677	± 3.77%
Public Policy Polling	April 2–5, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	44%	1	751	± 3.6%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ben Carson	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	41%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ted Cruz	45%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Mike Huckabee	48%	5
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	45%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rick Perry	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Marco Rubio	45%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Scott Walker	46%	3
		Joe Biden	39%	Scott Walker	48%	9
		Elizabeth Warren	36%	Scott Walker	46%	10
Public Policy Polling	February 24–26, 2015	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	42%	4	849	3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ben Carson	46%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	40%	6
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rick Perry	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Scott Walker	43%	2
		Joe Biden	40%	Jeb Bush	47%	7
		Elizabeth Warren	38%	Jeb Bush	44%	8
Elon University Archived 2015-11-21 at the Wayback Machine	February 16–20, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45.7%	Jeb Bush	40.2%	5.5	773	± 3.52%
Public Policy Polling	January 29–31, 2015	Hillary Clinton	44%	Jeb Bush	44%	Tied	845	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ben Carson	45%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mitt Romney	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	44%	2
		Joe Biden	41%	Mitt Romney	48%	7
		Elizabeth Warren	39%	Mitt Romney	47%	8
Meeting Street Research Archived 2015-02-06 at the Wayback Machine	January 21–22, 2015	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	41%	5	500	± 4.38%
	January 21–22, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47%	Mitt Romney	42%	5	500	± 4.38%
Public Policy Polling	December 4–7, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	46%	Tied	823	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ben Carson	44%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	42%	2
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	44%	2
		Joe Biden	42%	Jeb Bush	47%	5
		Joe Biden	40%	Ben Carson	45%	5
		Elizabeth Warren	39%	Jeb Bush	46%	7
		Elizabeth Warren	37%	Ben Carson	44%	7
Gravis Marketing	October 29–30, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	47%	2	1,006	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	October 29–30, 2014	Elizabeth Warren	34%	Rand Paul	47%	13	1,006	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	October 16–18, 2014	Hillary Clinton	42%	Rand Paul	48%	6	1,022	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	October 16–18, 2014	Elizabeth Warren	32%	Rand Paul	48%	16	1,022	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	September 22–23, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	45%	1	860	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	September 22–23, 2014	Elizabeth Warren	33%	Rand Paul	46%	13	860	± 3%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–14, 2014	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	45%	2	1,266	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	38%	7
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	40%	8
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	46%	1
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	41%	5
Public Policy Polling	August 14–17, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	42%	4	856	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	38%	7
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	41%	6
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	42%	5
Civitas Institute	July 28–29, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	48%	1	600	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	47%	1
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	47%	4
		Joe Biden	44%	Jeb Bush	50%	6
		Joe Biden	42%	Chris Christie	49%	7
		Joe Biden	44%	Rand Paul	49%	5
Gravis Marketing	July 22–27, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	43%	2	1,380	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	July 22–27, 2014	Elizabeth Warren	35%	Rand Paul	44%	9	1,380	± 3%
Public Policy Polling	June 12–15, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	44%	1	1,076	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	41%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	43%	3
Public Policy Polling	May 9–11, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	42%	3	877	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	40%	4
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Mike Huckabee	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Rand Paul	44%	1
Public Policy Polling	April 3–6, 2014	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	44%	1	740	± 3.6%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	44%	2
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Mike Huckabee	43%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	43%	4
Public Policy Polling	March 6–9, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	46%	1	884	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	42%	7
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	43%	6
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	43%	4	708	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Mike Huckabee	43%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	44%	3
Public Policy Polling	January 9–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	44%	2	1,384	± 2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	41%	6
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	43%	4
Public Policy Polling	December 5–8, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	45%	1	1,281	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	41%	8
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	44%	4
Public Policy Polling	November 8–11, 2013	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	43%	4	701	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	46%	3
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	39%	12
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	41%	9
Public Policy Polling	April 11–14, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Rand Paul	40%	12	601	± 4%
Public Policy Polling	April 11–14, 2013	Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	42%	7	601	± 4%

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Independent/ Third-party candidate	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	October 23–25, 2015	Hillary Clinton	41%	Donald Trump	43%	Jim Webb	8%	2	893	3.3%
Public Policy Polling ^[176]	August 12–16, 2015	Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	28%	Donald Trump	27%	10	957	3.2%

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[179]	September 25 – October 5, 2015	Joe Biden	46%	Jeb Bush	37%	9	1180	2.9%
		Joe Biden	42%	Ben Carson	46%	4
		Joe Biden	44%	Carly Fiorna	42%	2
		Joe Biden	46%	Marco Rubio	41%	5
		Joe Biden	49%	Donald Trump	38%	11
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	43%	2
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Ben Carson	49%	9
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Carly Fiorna	43%	2
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Marco Rubio	45%	4
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	42%	1
		Bernie Sanders	40%	Jeb Bush	42%	2
		Bernie Sanders	36%	Ben Carson	48%	12
		Bernie Sanders	39%	Carly Fiorna	43%	4
		Bernie Sanders	40%	Marco Rubio	43%	3
		Bernie Sanders	44%	Donald Trump	41%	3
Quinnipiac University^[180]	August 7–18, 2015	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	38%	5	1,096	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	39%	2
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Marco Rubio	42%	2
		Joe Biden	48%	Donald Trump	38%	10
		Joe Biden	42%	Jeb Bush	39%	3
		Joe Biden	42%	Marco Rubio	41%	1
		Bernie Sanders	42%	Donald Trump	40%	2
		Bernie Sanders	36%	Jeb Bush	42%	6
		Bernie Sanders	34%	Marco Rubio	42%	8
Quinnipiac University^[181]	June 4–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	41%	1	1,191	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	39%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	39%	8
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	41%	5
		Hillary Clinton	40%	John Kasich	47%	7
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	43%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Marco Rubio	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Scott Walker	40%	4
Public Policy Polling	June 4–7, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	43%	2	859	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ben Carson	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Mike Huckabee	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	40%	John Kasich	47%	7
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Rand Paul	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Marco Rubio	44%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Scott Walker	43%	1
		Michael Bloomberg	32%	Scott Walker	40%	8
		Lincoln Chafee	24%	Scott Walker	39%	15
		Martin O'Malley	26%	Scott Walker	41%	15
		Bernie Sanders	30%	Scott Walker	40%	10
		Jim Webb	25%	Scott Walker	41%	16
Quinnipiac University^[182]	March 17–28, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	38%	9	1,077	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	39%	6
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	41%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Marco Rubio	38%	9
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	38%	11
Public Policy Polling↑	March 2–3, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	40%	5	946	± ?
Public Policy Polling↑	March 2–3, 2015	Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	41%	8	946	± ?
Quinnipiac University^[183]	January 22 – February 1, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	36%	11	943	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	34%	13
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	34%	15
		Hillary Clinton	44%	John Kasich	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	36%	12
Fox News	October 28–30, 2014	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	38%	10	803	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	39%	7
		Hillary Clinton	47%	John Kasich	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	40%	9
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rick Perry	39%	10
Quinnipiac	July 24–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	37%	11	1,366	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	37%	9
		Hillary Clinton	47%	John Kasich	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	42%	4
Quinnipiac	May 7–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	39%	9	1,174	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	38%	8
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	37%	14
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	41%	8
		Hillary Clinton	47%	John Kasich	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	41%	8
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Marco Rubio	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Paul Ryan	41%	7
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-03-04 at the Wayback Machine	February 12–17, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	36%	15	1,370	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	36%	13
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ted Cruz	34%	17
		Hillary Clinton	51%	John Kasich	39%	12
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	38%	13
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Marco Rubio	36%	14
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Paul Ryan	40%	9
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-02-21 at the Wayback Machine	November 19–24, 2013	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	37%	13	1,361	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	41%	1
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Ted Cruz	35%	15
		Hillary Clinton	49%	John Kasich	38%	11
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	40%	10
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	39%	9
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Paul Ryan	41%	8
Public Policy Polling	August 16–19, 2013	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	36%	14	551	± 4.2%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	36%	9
		Hillary Clinton	53%	John Kasich	35%	18
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	36%	15
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Paul Ryan	36%	16
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-01-22 at the Wayback Machine	June 18–23, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	42%	Tied	941	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	44%	3
		Joe Biden	32%	Chris Christie	50%	18
		Joe Biden	40%	Rand Paul	49%	9

↑ Poll conducted for the Ohio Democratic Party

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Independent/ Third-party candidate	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[180]	August 7–18, 2015	Hillary Clinton	37%	Jeb Bush	27%	Donald Trump	23%	10	1096	3%

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[184]	May 22–27, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	36%	15	956	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Chris Christie	34%	17
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Ted Cruz	37%	15
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Mike Huckabee	39%	12
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	39%	12

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	October 8–11, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	40%	5	1,012	± 3.1%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ben Carson	47%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Ted Cruz	40%	6
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Carly Fiorina	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Mike Huckabee	38%	9
		Hillary Clinton	41%	John Kasich	39%	2
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rick Santorum	39%	8
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	45%	2
		Joe Biden	46%	Ben Carson	44%	2
		Joe Biden	46%	Carly Fiorina	40%	6
		Joe Biden	45%	Marco Rubio	41%	4
		Joe Biden	45%	Donald Trump	43%	2
		Bernie Sanders	36%	Ben Carson	44%	8
		Bernie Sanders	38%	Carly Fiorina	40%	2
		Bernie Sanders	40%	Marco Rubio	41%	5
		Bernie Sanders	42%	Donald Trump	46%	4
Quinnipiac University^[179]	September 25 – October 5, 2015	Joe Biden	45%	Jeb Bush	42%	3	1049	3%
		Joe Biden	42%	Ben Carson	47%	5
		Joe Biden	44%	Carly Fiorna	43%	1
		Joe Biden	45%	Marco Rubio	43%	2
		Joe Biden	50%	Donald Trump	40%	10
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Jeb Bush	46%	6
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Ben Carson	49%	9
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Carly Fiorna	45%	4
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	45%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Donald Trump	42%	2
		Bernie Sanders	42%	Jeb Bush	44%	2
		Bernie Sanders	37%	Ben Carson	47%	10
		Bernie Sanders	40%	Carly Fiorna	44%	4
		Bernie Sanders	39%	Marco Rubio	45%	6
		Bernie Sanders	46%	Donald Trump	41%	5
Quinnipiac University^[180]	August 7–18, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Donald Trump	40%	5	1,085	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Jeb Bush	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Marco Rubio	47%	7
		Joe Biden	48%	Donald Trump	40%	8
		Joe Biden	42%	Jeb Bush	43%	1
		Joe Biden	41%	Marco Rubio	44%	3
		Bernie Sanders	44%	Donald Trump	41%	3
		Bernie Sanders	36%	Jeb Bush	44%	8
		Bernie Sanders	33%	Marco Rubio	45%	12
Quinnipiac University^[181]	June 4–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	41%	4	970	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	41%	2
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Mike Huckabee	39%	7
		Hillary Clinton	45%	John Kasich	39%	6
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Marco Rubio	44%	1
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	41%	5
Public Policy Polling	May 21–24, 2015	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	38%	11	799	± 3.5%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ben Carson	42%	6
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	41%	5
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	41%	8
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Mike Huckabee	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Rand Paul	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rick Santorum	42%	7
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Scott Walker	41%	4
		Lincoln Chafee	27%	Scott Walker	36%	9
		Martin O'Malley	30%	Scott Walker	38%	8
		Bernie Sanders	32%	Scott Walker	37%	5
		Jim Webb	29%	Scott Walker	36%	8
Quinnipiac University^[182]	March 17–28, 2015	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	40%	6	1,036	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	40%	5
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	39%	9
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Mike Huckabee	41%	6
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	41%	5
Muhlenberg College	January 28 – February 11, 2015	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	32%	16	351	± 7%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Chris Christie	31%	19
		Hillary Clinton	?%	Mitt Romney	?%	?
Quinnipiac University^[183]	January 22 – February 1, 2015	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	35%	15	881	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Chris Christie	39%	11
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Mike Huckabee	34%	20
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Rand Paul	34%	19
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Rick Santorum	34%	20
Public Policy Polling	January 15–18, 2015	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	38%	11	1,042	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Ben Carson	37%	14
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Mike Huckabee	39%	12
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	39%	11
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Mitt Romney	40%	10
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Rick Santorum	36%	16
		Joe Biden	41%	Mitt Romney	43%	2
		Elizabeth Warren	36%	Mitt Romney	44%	8
Public Policy Polling	May 30 – June 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	37%	14	835	± 3.4%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Ted Cruz	34%	19
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Mike Huckabee	37%	15
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Rand Paul	38%	14
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rick Santorum	40%	11
Quinnipiac	May 29 – June 2, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	35%	16	1,308	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	41%	4
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Mike Huckabee	36%	15
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	37%	14
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	38%	12
Quinnipiac^{[permanent dead link]}	February 19–24, 2014	Hillary Clinton	53%	Jeb Bush	36%	17	1,405	± 2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	41%	5
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Ted Cruz	34%	20
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Rand Paul	38%	15
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Rick Santorum	37%	16
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-02-23 at the Wayback Machine	December 11–16, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Jeb Bush	36%	16	1,061	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	43%	1
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Ted Cruz	36%	18
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Rand Paul	40%	12
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rick Santorum	38%	13
Public Policy Polling	November 22–25, 2013	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	44%	4	693	± 3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	48%	4
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Ted Cruz	41%	12
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	43%	8
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rick Santorum	42%	9
Quinnipiac Archived 2013-06-13 at the Wayback Machine	May 30 – June 4, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Rand Paul	37%	15	1,032	± 3.1%
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Rick Santorum	36%	17
		Joe Biden	45%	Rand Paul	41%	4
		Joe Biden	46%	Rick Santorum	39%	7
Public Policy Polling	March 8–10, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Marco Rubio	37%	15	504	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Paul Ryan	40%	12
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Rick Santorum	38%	17
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-01-22 at the Wayback Machine	March 6–11, 2013	Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	42%	5	1,116	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Marco Rubio	36%	18
		Hillary Clinton	55%	Paul Ryan	38%	17
		Joe Biden	38%	Chris Christie	51%	13
		Joe Biden	45%	Marco Rubio	41%	4
		Joe Biden	44%	Paul Ryan	47%	13
		Andrew Cuomo	32%	Chris Christie	53%	21
		Andrew Cuomo	42%	Marco Rubio	38%	4
		Andrew Cuomo	44%	Paul Ryan	41%	3

Three-way race

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Independent/ Third-party candidate	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Quinnipiac University^[180]	August 7–18, 2015	Hillary Clinton	37%	Jeb Bush	29%	Donald Trump	24%	8	1,085	3%

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	November 7–8, 2015	Hillary Clinton	41%	Jeb Bush	47%	6	1,290	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Ben Carson	51%	12
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ted Cruz	46%	3
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Carly Fiorina	45%	4
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Mike Huckabee	47%	4
		Hillary Clinton	41%	John Kasich	43%	2
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	47%	5
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	47%	5
		Bernie Sanders	35%	Jeb Bush	48%	13
		Bernie Sanders	33%	Ben Carson	51%	18
		Bernie Sanders	35%	Ted Cruz	45%	10
		Bernie Sanders	33%	Marco Rubio	46%	13
		Bernie Sanders	38%	Donald Trump	48%	10
Public Policy Polling^[185]	September 3–6, 2015	Hillary Clinton	37%	Jeb Bush	47%	10	1,115
		Hillary Clinton	36%	Ben Carson	54%	18
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Ted Cruz	48%	9
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Carly Fiorina	48%	10
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Lindsey Graham	38%	1
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Mike Huckabee	49%	10
		Hillary Clinton	38%	John Kasich	42%	4
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Marco Rubio	46%	6
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Donald Trump	50%	11
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Scott Walker	48%	9
		Bernie Sanders	32%	Jeb Bush	48%	16
		Bernie Sanders	27%	Ben Carson	51%	24
		Bernie Sanders	28%	Carly Fiorina	45%	17
		Bernie Sanders	33%	Lindsey Graham	39%	6
		Bernie Sanders	35%	Donald Trump	51%	16
		Bernie Sanders	30%	Scott Walker	46%	16
		Joe Biden	39%	Donald Trump	51%	12
Public Policy Polling^[186]	February 12–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	49%	7	868	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Ben Carson	48%	7
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	43%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ted Cruz	46%	3
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Lindsey Graham	45%	2
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Mike Huckabee	49%	8
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rand Paul	45%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Rick Perry	48%	5
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Scott Walker	46%	4
		Joe Biden	36%	Jeb Bush	53%	17
		Elizabeth Warren	34%	Jeb Bush	50%	16
NBC News/Marist	February 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	48%	3	877	± 3.3%
NBC News/Marist	February 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	46%	Tied	877	± 3.3%
Harper Polling	October 27–28, 2013	Hillary Clinton	38%	Chris Christie	43%	5	676	± 3.77%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Ted Cruz	41%	1
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Marco Rubio	47%	7

Three-way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Independent/ Third-party candidate	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling ^[185]	September 3–6, 2015	Hillary Clinton	34%	Jeb Bush	25%	Donald Trump	33%	1	1,115

Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
The Texas Lyceum ^[187]	Sept 8–21, 2015	Hillary Clinton	37%	Donald Trump	39%	2	633 LV	± 3.9%
		Hillary Clinton	27%	Jeb Bush	35%	8
		Hillary Clinton	32%	Ted Cruz	39%	7
		Hillary Clinton	34%	Marco Rubio	27%	7
		Hillary Clinton	31%	Scott Walker	33%	2
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Rick Perry	34%	4
The Texas Lyceum ^[187]	Sept 8–21, 2015	Hillary Clinton	38%	Donald Trump	33%	5	801 RV	± 3.35%
		Hillary Clinton	27%	Jeb Bush	32%	5
		Hillary Clinton	31%	Ted Cruz	32%	1
		Hillary Clinton	32%	Marco Rubio	22%	10
		Hillary Clinton	31%	Scott Walker	29%	2
		Hillary Clinton	37%	Rick Perry	31%	6
Public Policy Polling^[188]	April 10–13, 2014	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	50%	8	559	± 4.1%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	44%	2
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ted Cruz	50%	7
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Mike Huckabee	50%	8
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Rand Paul	50%	10
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rick Perry	49%	5
Public Policy Polling	November 1–4, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	49%	7	500	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Chris Christie	44%	5
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Ted Cruz	48%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	48%	4
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rick Perry	45%	2
Public Policy Polling	June 28 – July 1, 2013	Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	46%	3	500	± 4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Chris Christie	47%	9
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ted Cruz	49%	5
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rick Perry	44%	4
Public Policy Polling	January 24–27, 2013	Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	43%	2	500	±4.4%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rick Perry	42%	8
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	45%	1

Utah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Dan Jones & Associates	December 8–14, 2015	Hillary Clinton	28%	Donald Trump	33%	5	622	± 3.93%
		Hillary Clinton	21%	Marco Rubio	48%	27
		Hillary Clinton	22%	Jeb Bush	47%	25
		Hillary Clinton	23%	Ben Carson	52%	29

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Roanoke College	November 9–13, 2015	Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	36%	14	601	± 4%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	39%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Carly Fiorina	39%	7
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Marco Rubio	41%	4
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Ben Carson	44%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	39%	8
Christopher Newport University	September 29 – October 8, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47%	Donald Trump	40%	7	1,067	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Ben Carson	49%	6
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Carly Fiorina	47%	4
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Jeb Bush	46%	3
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Marco Rubio	45%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	41%	8
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	47%	5
		Bernie Sanders	49%	Donald Trump	37%	12
		Bernie Sanders	39%	Ben Carson	49%	10
		Bernie Sanders	39%	Carly Fiorina	44%	5
		Bernie Sanders	41%	Jeb Bush	46%	5
		Bernie Sanders	43%	Marco Rubio	42%	1
		Bernie Sanders	47%	Ted Cruz	37%	10
		Bernie Sanders	41%	Chris Christie	44%	3
		Joe Biden	54%	Donald Trump	37%	17
		Joe Biden	48%	Ben Carson	44%	4
		Joe Biden	48%	Carly Fiorina	42%	6
		Joe Biden	47%	Jeb Bush	42%	5
		Joe Biden	50%	Marco Rubio	40%	10
		Joe Biden	53%	Ted Cruz	36%	17
		Joe Biden	48%	Chris Christie	41%	7
Roanoke College	August 10–20, 2015	Hillary Clinton	43%	Donald Trump	32%	11	535	± 4.24%
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	40%	2
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Scott Walker	38%	4
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	40%	2
Quinnipiac University^[19]	July 9–20, 2015	Hillary Clinton	39%	Jeb Bush	42%	3	1,209	± 2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	40%	Scott Walker	43%	3
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Marco Rubio	43%	2
		Joe Biden	40%	Jeb Bush	45%	5
		Joe Biden	41%	Scott Walker	45%	4
		Joe Biden	41%	Marco Rubio	45%	4
		Bernie Sanders	36%	Jeb Bush	46%	10
		Bernie Sanders	36%	Scott Walker	44%	8
		Bernie Sanders	37%	Marco Rubio	44%	7
Public Policy Polling	July 13–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	38%	8	1,170	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ben Carson	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	39%	6
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Carly Fiorina	39%	7
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Jim Gilmore	35%	12
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Marco Rubio	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Donald Trump	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Scott Walker	42%	5
		Bernie Sanders	39%	Jeb Bush	40%	1
		Bernie Sanders	38%	Marco Rubio	40%	2
		Bernie Sanders	43%	Donald Trump	39%	4
		Bernie Sanders	38%	Scott Walker	39%	1
		Jim Webb	40%	Scott Walker	37%	3
Christopher Newport University^[189]	April 13–24, 2015	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	48%	2	658	± 4.6%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	45%	2
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	44%	5
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	46%	3
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	47%	2
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	45%	4
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Scott Walker	43%	5
Quinnipiac University^[20]	March 29–April 7, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	40%	7	961	± 3.2%
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	40%	6
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Mike Huckabee	40%	8
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	43%	4
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	40%	8
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Scott Walker	40%	7
Quinnipiac University^[21]	February 5–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	42%	Tied	1,074	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	39%	5
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Mike Huckabee	41%	3
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Rand Paul	42%	2
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Scott Walker	40%	5
Christopher Newport University	January 30 – February 10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	43%	5	794	± 3.6%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	42%	7
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Mike Huckabee	42%	10
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Rand Paul	42%	10
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Marco Rubio	42%	9
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Paul Ryan	42%	10
Roanoke College	September 13–19, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Chris Christie	37%	10	630	± 3.9%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	35%	16
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	37%	13
Roanoke College	July 14–19, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Chris Christie	34%	10	566	± 4.2%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	37%	10
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Paul Ryan	38%	9
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-04-02 at the Wayback Machine	March 19–24, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	39%	8	1,288	± 2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	41%	4
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Mike Huckabee	41%	8
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	42%	6
Roanoke College Archived 2014-03-23 at the Wayback Machine	February 22–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	48%	Chris Christie	40%	8	707	± 3.9%
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Rand Paul	38%	14
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Paul Ryan	40%	11
Christopher Newport University	February 23–28, 2014	Hillary Clinton	51%	Jeb Bush	38%	13	901	± 3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	41%	2
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Ted Cruz	37%	10
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Mike Huckabee	37%	15
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	40%	8
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Paul Ryan	37%	15
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	35%	11
Harper Polling	September 15–16, 2013	Hillary Clinton	41%	Chris Christie	41%	Tied	779	± 3.51%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	41%	7
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Marco Rubio	40%	7
Purple Strategies Archived 2016-03-04 at the Wayback Machine	September 6–10, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	40%	2	800	± 3.5%
	September 6–10, 2013	Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	41%	7	800	± 3.5%
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-04-08 at the Wayback Machine	August 14–19, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	37%	9	1,374	± 2.6%
		Hillary Clinton	53%	Ted Cruz	34%	17
		Joe Biden	37%	Chris Christie	44%	7
		Joe Biden	47%	Ted Cruz	37%	10
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-01-22 at the Wayback Machine	July 11–15, 2013	Hillary Clinton	45%	Chris Christie	40%	5	1,030	±3.1%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	37%	14
		Joe Biden	38%	Chris Christie	46%	8
		Joe Biden	47%	Rand Paul	40%	7
Public Policy Polling	July 11–14, 2013	Hillary Clinton	42%	Chris Christie	41%	1	601	±4%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Bob McDonnell	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Rand Paul	39%	12
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	37%	12
Public Policy Polling	May 24–26, 2013	Hillary Clinton	48%	Bob McDonnell	42%	6	672	± 3.8%
Public Policy Polling	May 24–26, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46%	Marco Rubio	42%	4	672	± 3.8%
Quinnipiac Archived 2014-01-22 at the Wayback Machine	May 8–13, 2013	Hillary Clinton	51%	Marco Rubio	38%	13	1,286	±2.7%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	40%	10
		Mark Warner	51%	Marco Rubio	33%	18
		Mark Warner	50%	Paul Ryan	37%	13
NBC News/Marist	April 28 – May 2, 2012	Hillary Clinton	52%	Bob McDonnell	41%	11	1,095	±3%
NBC News/Marist	April 28 – May 2, 2012	Joe Biden	42%	Bob McDonnell	49%	7	1,095	±3%
Public Policy Polling	April 26–29, 2012	Mark Warner	50%	Bob McDonnell	37%	13	680	±3.8%

Three-way race

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Independent/ Third-party candidate	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
University of Mary Washington^[190]	November 4–9, 2015	Hillary Clinton	42%	Donald Trump	36%	Jim Webb	16%	6	1,006	±3.5%
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Ben Carson	44%	Jim Webb	12%	5
		Bernie Sanders	33%	Donald Trump	38%	Jim Webb	20%	5
		Bernie Sanders	33%	Ben Carson	42%	Jim Webb	17%	9
		Hillary Clinton	42%	Jeb Bush	24%	Donald Trump	27%	15

Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing^[191]	May 18–19, 2015	Hillary Clinton	45%	Jeb Bush	37%	8	1,032	±3%
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Scott Walker	40%	6
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Chris Christie	37%	9
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Mike Huckabee	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	45%	Marco Rubio	42%	3
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	40%	8
Public Policy Polling	May 14–17, 2015	Hillary Clinton	48%	Jeb Bush	37%	11	879	±3.3%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ben Carson	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	34%	15
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Ted Cruz	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Mike Huckabee	37%	10
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rick Perry	37%	13
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Marco Rubio	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	38%	10
		Lincoln Chafee	29%	Scott Walker	35%	6
		Martin O'Malley	31%	Scott Walker	34%	3
		Bernie Sanders	35%	Scott Walker	35%	Tied
		Jim Webb	32%	Scott Walker	33%	1

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Orion Strategies^[192]	August 24–25, 2015	Hillary Clinton	30%	Donald Trump	53%	23	406	±4.9%
Public Policy Polling^[193]	September 19–22, 2013	Hillary Clinton	38%	Jeb Bush	52%	14	1,110	±2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Chris Christie	47%	9
		Hillary Clinton	41%	Ted Cruz	44%	3
		Hillary Clinton	39%	Rand Paul	49%	10
		Hillary Clinton	38%	Paul Ryan	50%	12

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Let America Work	November 16–18, 2015	Hillary Clinton	42%	Marco Rubio	47%	5	900	± 3.3%
Marquette University	November 12–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton	44%	Ben Carson	45%	1	803	± 4.2%
		Hillary Clinton	44%	Marco Rubio	45%	1
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Donald Trump	38%	10
		Bernie Sanders	47%	Ben Carson	41%	6
		Bernie Sanders	46%	Marco Rubio	42%	4
		Bernie Sanders	52%	Donald Trump	35%	17
Marquette University	September 24–28, 2015	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	38%	12	803	± 4.1%
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	40%	8
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Donald Trump	36%	14
		Bernie Sanders	49%	Jeb Bush	39%	10
		Bernie Sanders	49%	Marco Rubio	36%	13
		Bernie Sanders	53%	Donald Trump	34%	19
Marquette University	August 13–16, 2015	Hillary Clinton	47%	Jeb Bush	42%	5	802	± 3.5%
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Ted Cruz	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Donald Trump	35%	16
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Scott Walker	42%	10
The Wisconsin Survey^[194]	April 8–17, 2015	Hillary Clinton	44%	Scott Walker	42%	2	600	± 4%
Marquette University	April 7–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton	48.8%	Jeb Bush	37.9%	10.9	803	± 3.5%
		Hillary Clinton	52.1%	Ted Cruz	36.4%	15.7
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Rand Paul	41%	8
		Hillary Clinton	49.5%	Marco Rubio	37.7%	11.8
		Hillary Clinton	51.5%	Scott Walker	39.8%	11.7
Public Policy Polling	March 6–8, 2015	Hillary Clinton	49%	Jeb Bush	39%	10	1,071	± 3%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ben Carson	38%	11
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Chris Christie	39%	9
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Ted Cruz	39%	10
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Mike Huckabee	40%	7
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rand Paul	42%	6
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Rick Perry	40%	8
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Marco Rubio	40%	8
		Hillary Clinton	52%	Scott Walker	43%	9
		Joe Biden	48%	Scott Walker	45%	3
		Elizabeth Warren	48%	Scott Walker	45%	3
Gravis Marketing	October 3–4, 2014	Hillary Clinton	44%	Paul Ryan	51%	7	837	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	September 22–23, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Paul Ryan	46%	1	908	± 3%
Gravis Marketing	July 31 – August 2, 2014	Hillary Clinton	47%	Paul Ryan	48%	1	1,346	± 3%
Public Policy Polling	April 17–20, 2014	Hillary Clinton	50%	Jeb Bush	39%	11	1,144	± 2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Chris Christie	36%	13
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Mike Huckabee	38%	12
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Rand Paul	39%	11
		Hillary Clinton	50%	Paul Ryan	45%	5
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Scott Walker	44%	7
Marquette University	October 21–24, 2013	Hillary Clinton	50%	Chris Christie	40.3%	9.7	800	± 3.5%
		Hillary Clinton	55.3%	Ted Cruz	33.4%	21.9
		Hillary Clinton	50.7%	Paul Ryan	43%	7.7
		Hillary Clinton	53.3%	Scott Walker	40.6%	12.7
Public Policy Polling	September 13–16, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46%	Jeb Bush	42%	4	1,180	±2.9%
		Hillary Clinton	43%	Chris Christie	40%	3
		Hillary Clinton	48%	Ted Cruz	37%	11
		Hillary Clinton	47%	Rand Paul	42%	5
		Hillary Clinton	46%	Paul Ryan	46%	Tied
		Hillary Clinton	49%	Scott Walker	44%	5
Marquette University	May 6–9, 2013	Hillary Clinton	46.5%	Chris Christie	40%	6.5	717	±3.7%
		Hillary Clinton	50.8%	Rand Paul	37.2%	13.6
		Hillary Clinton	51.1%	Marco Rubio	34.9%	16.2
		Hillary Clinton	48.5%	Paul Ryan	43.5%	5
		Hillary Clinton	50.2%	Scott Walker	41.7%	8.5
Public Policy Polling	February 21–24, 2013	Hillary Clinton	52%	Marco Rubio	38%	14	1,799	±2.3%
		Hillary Clinton	51%	Paul Ryan	43%	8
		Hillary Clinton	54%	Scott Walker	41%	13

Wyoming

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
(Republican in 2012) 69%–28%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling^[195]	July 19–21, 2013	Hillary Clinton	31%	Jeb Bush	58%	27	1,203	±2.8%
		Hillary Clinton	28%	Chris Christie	56%	28
		Hillary Clinton	32%	Rand Paul	58%	26
		Hillary Clinton	32%	Marco Rubio	56%	24
		Hillary Clinton	32%	Paul Ryan	59%	27

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See also

References