Major General James G. Blunt

The 2024 United States presidential election in Washington is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Washington voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[2]

Primary election

Republican primary

The Washington Republican primary is scheduled to be held on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Hawaii, Idaho, Mississippi, and Missouri.

Washington Republican primary, March 12, 2024
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 601,070 76.4% 43 43
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) 151,485 19.3%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 17,870 2.3%
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 8,702 1.1%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 7,318 0.9%
Total: 786,445 100.0% 43 43
Source: [3]

Democratic primary

The Washington Democratic primary took place on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Democrats Abroad, Northern Marianas, Mississippi, and Georgia.

Washington Democratic primary, March 12, 2024
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Pledged Unpledged Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 763,739 83.5% 90
Uncommitted delegates 89,764 9.8% 2
Marianne Williamson 25,308 2.8% 0
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) 25,190 2.8% 0
Write-in votes 10,966 1.2% 0
Total: 914,967 100.0% 92 19 111
Source: [4]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[5] Solid D December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[6] Solid D April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Solid D June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[8] Solid D December 14, 2023
CNalysis[9] Solid D December 30, 2023
CNN[10] Solid D January 14, 2024

Polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights[A] March 18–21, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.7% 48% 37% 15%
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] February 13–14, 2024 797 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 38% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] November 14–15, 2023 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 52% 38% 10%
Crosscut/Elway October 30 – November 3, 2023 403 (RV) ± 5.0% 39% 29% 31%[b]
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] June 7–8, 2023 773 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 36% 11%
Emerson College September 30 – October 1, 2022 782 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 39% 12%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) August 15–17, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 54% 41% 6%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Crosscut/Elway October 30 – November 3, 2023 403 (RV) ± 5.0% 37% 25% 9% 3% 26%[c]
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] June 7–8, 2023 773 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 39% 10%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Someone else" with 22%; "Undecided" with 8%; "I would not vote" with 1%
  3. ^ "Undecided" with 14%; "Someone else" with 11%; "I would not vote" with 2%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Concerned Taxpayers of Washington State PAC
  2. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute

References

  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
  3. ^ "Washington Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
  4. ^ "March 12, 2024 Presidential Primary Results". Washington Secretary of State. March 23, 2024. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
  5. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  6. ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  7. ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  8. ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  9. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  10. ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.