Colonel William A. Phillips

The 2024 United States presidential election in Kansas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Kansas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[2]

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Kansas Republican Primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, Illinois, and Ohio.

Kansas Republican Primary, March 19, 2024
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 71,077 75.5% 39
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) 15,131 16.1%
None of the Names Shown 4,913 5.2%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 2,497 2.7%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) 507 0.5%
Total: 94,125 100.0% 39 39
Source: [3]

Democratic primary

The Kansas Democratic primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, and Ohio.

Kansas Democratic primary, March 19, 2024
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 35,369 83.8% 33
None of the Names Shown 4,330 10.3%
Marianne Williamson 1,453 3.4%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) 557 1.3%
Jason Palmer 497 1.2%
Total: 42,206 100.00% 33 6 39
Source:[4]


Green primary

The Kansas Green primary was held from January 22, 2024 to February 5, 2024. It was a held digitally under a ranked-choice voting system. Jill Stein won with 100% of the vote, being ranked first by all 7 voting party members. Stein automatically received Kansas' 4 delegates to the 2024 Green National Convention.

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[5] Solid R December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[6] Solid R April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Solid R June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[8] Likely R December 14, 2023
CNalysis[9] Solid R December 30, 2023
CNN[10] Solid R January 14, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 487 (RV) ± 4.4% 47% 31% 22%
Emerson College October 27–29, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 37% 13%
Emerson College September 15–18, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 36% 12%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 392 (LV) ± 7.5% 52% 41% 7%
Hypothetical polling
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 392 (LV) ± 7.5% 50% 39% 11%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
  3. ^ "Arizona Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  4. ^ "Kansas Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  5. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  6. ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  7. ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  8. ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  9. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  10. ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.