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Elections to the Texas Senate will be held on November 5, 2024, for 15 of the 31 Senate districts across the state of Texas. Numerous other federal, state, and local elections will also be held on this date. The winners of this election will serve full four-year terms covering the 89th Texas Legislature and the 90th Texas Legislature. Republicans have held a majority in the Texas Senate since January 14, 1997, as a result of the 1996 elections.

Primary elections will be held on March 5, 2024, and any necessary runoffs will be held on May 28.[1]

Background

Republicans expanded their majority by one seat to a 19–12 margin in the 2022 elections, picking up a seat anchored in Tarrant County that had been redrawn to significantly favor them but failing to win a competitive seat in the Rio Grande Valley.[2]

During the regular session, the legislature expanded school armed security measures, banned diversity, equity and inclusion offices at universities, and allowed school districts to hire or volunteer chaplains for mental health support for students.[3][4][5] Republican infighting in the House led to the collapse of a school voucher bill during the regular session despite the Senate easily passing it. Governor Greg Abbott vowed to call special sessions until it passed.[6] On May 27, 2023, the House voted 121–23 to impeach attorney general Ken Paxton after a House committee found that he had used taxpayer funds to settle a legal dispute.[7][8][9] The Senate voted to acquit him of all charges in September 2023.[10] Republicans Kelly Hancock and Robert Nichols voted in favor of 13 articles each, with all other Republican senators voting against all of them. Neither senator is up for re-election until 2026.[11][12]

Retirements

One incumbent will not seek re-election.

Republicans

  1. District 30: Drew Springer is retiring.[13]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
CNalysis[14] Solid R March 19, 2024


Special elections

District 15: John Whitmire (D) was elected Mayor of Houston in 2023 and resigned from the Senate on December 31, 2023.[15] A special election to fill his unexpired term is scheduled to be held on May 4, 2024.[16]

Campaign

Democrat Nathan Johnson is the only incumbent senator being challenged in the primary elections.[17] Republican Drew Springer's retirement and Democrat John Whitmire's resignation have created open races for their seats.[13][15] Democrat Morgan LaMantia is the only senator expected to face a competitive general election.[18]

District Incumbent Last Result[19] CNalysis[20]
March 2024
8th Angela Paxton 57.69% R Likely R
27th Morgan LaMantia 50.18% D Tossup

Summary of results by district

† - Incumbent not seeking re-election

State Senate District Incumbent Party Elected Senator Party
6th Carol Alvarado Dem
7th Paul Bettencourt Rep
8th Angela Paxton Rep
10th Phil King Rep
12th Tan Parker Rep
14th Sarah Eckhardt Dem Sarah Eckhardt Dem
15th Vacant[a]
16th Nathan M. Johnson Dem Nathan M. Johnson Dem
17th Joan Huffman Rep
20th Juan Hinojosa Dem Juan Hinojosa Dem
23rd Royce West Dem Royce West Dem
25th Donna Campbell Rep
27th Morgan LaMantia Dem
29th Cesar Blanco Dem Cesar Blanco Dem
30th Drew Springer Rep

Detailed results

District 6

Incumbent Democrat Carol Alvarado is running for re-election.

2024 Texas Senate District 6 Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Carol Alvarado (incumbent) 20,759 100%
Total votes 20,759 100%
2024 Texas Senate District 6 Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Martha Fierro 10,542 100%
Total votes 10,542 100%

District 7

Incumbent Republican Paul Bettencourt is running for re-election.

2024 Texas Senate District 7 Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul Bettencourt (incumbent) 62,230 100%
Total votes 62,230 100%
2024 Texas Senate District 7 Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michelle Gwinn 12,707 55.66%
Democratic Nasir Malik 10,122 44.34%
Total votes 22,829 100.00%

District 8

Incumbent Republican Angela Paxton is running for re-election.

2024 Texas Senate District 8 Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Angela Paxton (incumbent) 68,007 100%
Total votes 68,007 100%
2024 Texas Senate District 8 Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rachel Mello 23,078 100%
Total votes 23,078 100%

District 10

Incumbent Republican Phil King is running for re-election.

2024 Texas Senate District 10 Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Phil King (incumbent) 71,277 100%
Total votes 71,277 100%
2024 Texas Senate District 10 Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andy Morris 24,306 100%
Total votes 24,306 100%

District 12

Incumbent Republican Tan Parker is running for re-election.

2024 Texas Senate District 12 Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tan Parker (incumbent) 83,322 100%
Total votes 83,322 100%
2024 Texas Senate District 12 Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Stephanie Draper 29,671 100%
Total votes 29,671 100%

District 14

Incumbent Democrat Sarah Eckhardt is running for re-election unopposed.

2024 Texas Senate District 14 Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sarah Eckhardt (incumbent) 64,908 100%
Total votes 64,908 100%

District 15

Former Senator, Democrat John Whitmire was elected Mayor of Houston in 2023 and resigned from this seat, creating a vacancy.[15] A special election to fill his unexpired term is scheduled to be held on May 4, 2024.[16] Democratic candidates included State Representative Jarvis Johnson, Molly Cook, Todd Litton, Michelle Bonton, Beto Cardenas, and Karthik Soora,

2024 Texas Senate District 15 Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jarvis Johnson 17,953 36.19%
Democratic Molly Cook 10,213 20.59%
Democratic Todd Litton 7,859 15.84%
Democratic Michelle Anderson Bonton 5,291 10.67%
Democratic Alberto "Beto" Cardenas 5,196 10.48%
Democratic Karthik Soora 3,091 6.23%
Total votes 49,603 100.00%
2024 Texas Senate District 15 Democratic primary runoff
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jarvis Johnson %
Democratic Molly Cook %
Total votes 100.00%
2024 Texas Senate District 15 Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joseph L. Trahan 23,627 100%
Total votes 23,627 100%

District 16

Incumbent Democrat Nathan M. Johnson is running for re-election. He defeated state representative Victoria Neave in the Democratic primary.[17]

2024 Texas Senate District 16 Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Nathan M. Johnson (incumbent) 19,734 59.19%
Democratic Victoria Neave 13,604 40.81%
Total votes 33,338 100.00%

District 17

Incumbent Republican Joan Huffman is running for re-election.

2024 Texas Senate District 17 Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joan Huffman (incumbent) 70,144 100%
Total votes 70,144 100%
2024 Texas Senate District 17 Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathy Cheng 21,812 100%
Total votes 21,812 100%

District 20

Incumbent Democrat Juan Hinojosa is running for re-election unopposed.

2024 Texas Senate District 20 Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Juan Hinojosa (incumbent) 33,481 100%
Total votes 33,481 100%

District 23

Incumbent Democrat Royce West is running for re-election unopposed.

2024 Texas Senate District 23 Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Royce West (incumbent) 54,893 100%
Total votes 54,893 100%

District 25

Incumbent Republican Donna Campbell is running for re-election.

2024 Texas Senate District 25 Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Donna Campbell (incumbent) 93,986 100%
Total votes 93,986 100%
2024 Texas Senate District 25 Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Merrie Fox 31,717 100%
Total votes 31,717 100%

District 27

Incumbent Democrat Morgan LaMantia is running for re-election. She faces a rematch against Republican Adam Hinojosa, whom she narrowly defeated in 2022.[21][22] This race is the only one in the state expected to have a competitive general election.[18]

2024 Texas Senate District 27 Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Morgan LaMantia (incumbent) 29,903 100%
Total votes 29,903 100%
2024 Texas Senate District 27 Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adam Hinojosa 31,331 100%
Total votes 31,331 100%

District 29

Incumbent Democrat Cesar Blanco is running for re-election unopposed.

2024 Texas Senate District 29 Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cesar Blanco (incumbent) 33,079 100%
Total votes 33,079 100%

District 30

Incumbent Republican Drew Springer is retiring.[13]

2024 Texas Senate District 30 Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brent Hagenbuch 35,262 36.38%
Republican Jace Yarbrough 32,899 33.94%
Republican Carrie de Moor 17,069 17.61%
Republican Cody Clark 11,704 12.07%
Total votes 96,934 100.00%
2024 Texas Senate District 30 Republican primary runoff
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brent Hagenbuch %
Republican Jace Yarbrough %
Total votes 100.00%
2024 Texas Senate District 30 Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michael Braxton 7,833 37.72%
Democratic Dale Frey 6,856 33.02%
Democratic Matthew McGhee 6,077 29.26%
Total votes 20,766 100.00%
2024 Texas Senate District 30 Democratic primary runoff
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michael Braxton %
Democratic Dale Frey %
Total votes 100.00%

Notes

  1. ^ Incumbent Democrat John Whitmire resigned to become Mayor of Houston on December 31, 2023.

See also

References

  1. ^ "Texas State Senate elections, 2024". Ballotpedia. Retrieved June 16, 2023.
  2. ^ Barragán, Zach Despart and James (November 9, 2022). "Republicans narrowly increase their majorities in Texas Legislature". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
  3. ^ Henvey, Winston (September 15, 2023). "Learn how Allen ISD's new armed security aims to keep students safe". Allen American. Star Local Media. Archived from the original on September 20, 2023.
  4. ^ McGee, Kate (April 19, 2023). "Texas Senate approves bill that would ban diversity programs in public universities". Texas Tribune. Archived from the original on September 29, 2023.
  5. ^ Henvey, Winston (November 15, 2023). "Allen ISD considers policy around chaplains for mental health support". Allen American. Star Local Media. Archived from the original on November 20, 2023.
  6. ^ Watkins, Kate McGee and Matthew (May 30, 2023). "The regular Texas legislative session started with a record budget surplus and ended with an impeached attorney general". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
  7. ^ Despart, Zach; Barragán, James (May 27, 2023). "Texas AG Ken Paxton impeached, suspended from duties pending outcome of Senate trial". The Texas Tribune. Archived from the original on May 27, 2023. Retrieved May 27, 2023.
  8. ^ Vertuno, Jim; Bleiberg, Jake (May 27, 2023). "Why Texas' GOP-controlled House wants to impeach Republican attorney general". AP News. Archived from the original on May 26, 2023. Retrieved May 27, 2023.
  9. ^ Plohetski, Tony (May 27, 2023). "How a $3.3M settlement against Texas AG Ken Paxton put him on path to impeachment vote". Austin American-Statesman. Archived from the original on May 28, 2023. Retrieved May 28, 2023.
  10. ^ Timm, Jane C. (September 16, 2023). "Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton acquitted in impeachment trial". NBC News. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
  11. ^ Svitek, Patrick (May 22, 2023). "As Texas Republican senators march in lockstep, Robert Nichols is willing to break away". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
  12. ^ McGee, Kate (September 17, 2023). "These 2 senators were the only Republicans to vote for Paxton impeachment articles". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
  13. ^ a b c Svitek, Patrick (November 7, 2023). "State Sen. Drew Springer will not seek reelection in 2024". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved December 24, 2023.
  14. ^ "24 TX Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com. Retrieved March 23, 2024.
  15. ^ a b c Church, Abby (January 1, 2024). "John Whitmire is officially sworn in as Houston mayor in private ceremony". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved January 20, 2024.
  16. ^ a b Cheng, Yilun (January 19, 2024). "Texas Senate hopefuls vie to fill Mayor John Whitmire's vacated seat". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved January 20, 2023.
  17. ^ a b Jankowski, Philip; Jeffers Jr., Gromer (December 13, 2023). "Texas Rep. Victoria Neave Criado to challenge state Sen. Nathan Johnson in March primary". Dallas News. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
  18. ^ a b Svitek, Patrick (March 15, 2023). "Texas Democrats and Republicans are on the hunt for rare chances to flip seats in 2024". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
  19. ^ "2022-2023 Election Data". cnalysis. February 29, 2024. Retrieved March 16, 2024.
  20. ^ "24 TX Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com. Retrieved March 16, 2024.
  21. ^ Yañez, Alejandra (December 14, 2022). "LaMantia remains winner after recount for Senate District 27". KVEO-TV. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
  22. ^ Dozier, Dylan (December 2, 2023). "Hinojosa files for rematch". STexasNews.com. Retrieved March 1, 2024.