Battles of Cabin Creek

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The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the State of Oklahoma, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The primary elections for the Republican, Democratic, and Libertarian parties' nominations will take place on June 18, 2024. All candidates must file between the days of April 3–5, 2024.[1]

The elections are part of the 2024 Oklahoma elections and will coincide with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

District 1

The incumbent is Republican Kevin Hern, who was re-elected with 61.16% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Kevin Hern, incumbent U.S. Representative[3]
  • Paul Royse, former police officer and perennial candidate[3]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kevin Hern (R) $1,072,737 $675,371 $1,094,966
Source: Federal Election Commission[7]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kevin Hern (incumbent)
Republican Paul Royse
Total votes

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Dennis Baker, attorney, former FBI agent, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[8]
  • Evelyn Rodgers, librarian and perennial candidate[3]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dennis Baker (D) $46,546[a] $18,812 $13,286
Source: Federal Election Commission[7]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dennis Baker
Democratic Evelyn Rodgers
Total votes

Independents

Declared

  • Mark Sanders, attorney[3]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[10] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[12] Safe R October 26, 2023
CNalysis[13] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 2

The incumbent is Republican Josh Brecheen, who was elected with 72.45% of the vote in 2022.[2]

General election

Candidates

  • Josh Brecheen, incumbent U.S. representative (Republican)[3]
  • Ronnie Hopkins (Independent)[3]
  • Brandon Wade, machinery assembler and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 (Democratic)[3]

Endorsements

Josh Brecheen

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brandon Wade (D) $800 $1,250 $0
Josh Brecheen (R) $172,010 $161,801 $84,047
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[10] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[12] Safe R October 26, 2023
CNalysis[13] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 3

The incumbent is Republican Frank Lucas, who was re-elected with 74.54% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Robin Carder, healthcare consultant[3]
  • Frank Lucas, incumbent U.S. representative[15]
  • Darren Hamilton, satellite engineer[16]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Frank Lucas (R) $697,492 $360,772 $516,416
Source: Federal Election Commission[18]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Robin Carder
Republican Frank Lucas (incumbent)
Republican Darren Hamiliton
Total votes

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[10] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[12] Safe R October 26, 2023
CNalysis[13] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 4

The incumbent is Republican Tom Cole, who was re-elected with 66.75% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Paul Bondar[3]
  • Tom Cole, incumbent U.S. Representative[19]
  • Nick Hankins[3]
  • Rick Harris[3]
  • Andrew Hayes, farmer and rancher[3]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Tom Cole (R) $1,577,746 $1,041,772 $1,750,889
Source: Federal Election Commission[20]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul Bondar
Republican Tom Cole (incumbent)
Republican Nick Hankins
Republican Rick Harris
Republican Andrew Hayes
Total votes

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Mary Brannon, retired teacher and nominee for this district in 2018, 2020, and 2022[3]
  • Kody Macaulay, IT specialist[21]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kody Macaulay (D) $5,026[b] $51 $4,974
Source: Federal Election Commission[20]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Brannon
Democratic Kody Macaulay
Total votes

Independents

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[10] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[12] Safe R October 26, 2023
CNalysis[13] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 5

The incumbent is Republican Stephanie Bice, who was re-elected with 59.0% of the vote in 2022.[2]

General election

Candidates

  • Stephanie Bice, incumbent U.S. Representative (Republican)[3]
  • Madison Horn, cybersecurity executive and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022 (Democratic)[22]

Endorsements

Madison Horn (D)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Madison Horn (D) $84,347 $71,466 $13,046
Stephanie Bice (R) $929,280 $545,188 $1,005,706
Source: Federal Election Commission[27]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[10] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[12] Safe R October 26, 2023
CNalysis[13] Solid R November 16, 2023

Notes

  1. ^ $5,000 of this total was self-funded by Baker
  2. ^ $4,000 of this total was self-funded by Macaulay

References

  1. ^ "2024 Statutory Election Dates and Deadlines" (PDF). oklahoma.gov. Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved July 14, 2023.
  2. ^ a b c d e "2022 National House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 3, 2024.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o "OK Candidate Filing Beta". filings.okelections.us. Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
  4. ^ a b c "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Archived from the original on August 27, 2023. Retrieved August 27, 2023.
  5. ^ a b c d e "Endorsed Candidates | CWF". www.cwfpac.com. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  6. ^ a b "Pro-Israel America Announces Twenty Candidate Endorsements". Pro Israel America. March 7, 2024. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  7. ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - Oklahoma 1st". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 2, 2024.
  8. ^ Betzler, Charles (June 23, 2023). "Congressional Candidate addresses Creek County Democrats". Sapulpa Herald. Retrieved July 10, 2023.
  9. ^ a b c d e "2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 3, 2023.
  10. ^ a b c d e "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
  11. ^ a b c d e "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
  12. ^ a b c d e Cunningham, Eric (October 25, 2023). "Ratings Update: With North Carolina Gerrymander Set, Republicans Hold Edge in the House". Elections Daily. Retrieved October 26, 2023.
  13. ^ a b c d e "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved January 2, 2024.
  14. ^ "2024 Election United States House - Oklahoma 2nd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 3, 2024.
  15. ^ Frisk, Garrett (July 21, 2023). "We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
  16. ^ Krehbiel, Randy (February 18, 2024). "Political notebook: Oklahoma House of Representatives returning to full strength". Tulsa World. Retrieved February 18, 2024.
  17. ^ "Clear Path Action Fund". Clear Path Action Fund. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  18. ^ "2024 Election United States House - Oklahoma 3rd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 3, 2024.
  19. ^ Cameron, Alex (November 20, 2023). "Oklahoma Congressman Tom Cole to Run for Appropriations Chair". News9.com. Retrieved January 7, 2024. Cole says even if the GOP were to lose the majority in the House next year, he would still want to be named the top Republican on the [Appropriations Committee].
  20. ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - Oklahoma 4th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 3, 2024.
  21. ^ Burris, Sarah (November 21, 2023). "Sen. Markwayne Mullin ridiculed for whining over expensive diesel for his 'bigman' truck". Raw Story. Retrieved December 13, 2023. Kody Macaulay, running for Congress in Oklahoma's Fouth District, fact-checked Mullin on the price.
  22. ^ Greco, Jonathan (September 14, 2023). "Madison Horn announces campaign to challenge Rep. Stephanie Bice for Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District". KOCO. Retrieved September 15, 2023.
  23. ^ "2024 Endorsed Candidates". Log Cabin Republicans. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
  24. ^ "The Messenger: A PAC Dedicated to Electing GOP Women Issues First Wave of 2024 Endorsements (Exclusive)". Maggie's List. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
  25. ^ zackcohen@rational360.com (February 15, 2024). "Pro-Israel America Announces Fourteen New Candidate Endorsements". Pro Israel America. Retrieved February 15, 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  26. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  27. ^ "2024 Election United States House - Oklahoma 5th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 3, 2024.

External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates