| Elections in Oklahoma |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Oklahoma voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
A deeply red state entrenched in the Bible Belt, Oklahoma has not backed a Democratic presidential candidate since it was won by Lyndon B. Johnson of neighboring Texas in 1964 and since then has only been competitive at this level in the nationwide victories of former Southern governors Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton. In addition, Republican presidential candidates have consistently won every county in the state starting with Texan George W. Bush in 2004 — although Oklahoma County, home to the state capital Oklahoma City, was closely decided in 2020. Oklahoma is expected to be safely carried by the GOP in 2024.[2]
Primary elections
Democratic primary
The Oklahoma Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 66,882 | 72.98% | 36 | 36 | |
| Marianne Williamson | 8,356 | 9.12% | |||
| Dean Phillips | 8,182 | 8.93% | |||
| Stephen Lyons | 4,441 | 4.85% | |||
| Cenk Uygur | 1,974 | 2.15% | |||
| Armando Perez-Serrato | 1,809 | 1.97% | |||
| Total: | 91,644 | 100.00% | 40 | 40 | |
| Source: [3] | |||||
Republican primary
The Oklahoma Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 254,928 | 81.8% | 43 | 43 | |
| Nikki Haley | 49,406 | 15.9% | |||
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 3,946 | 1.3% | |||
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,095 | 0.4% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,022 | 0.3% | |||
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 431 | 0.1% | |||
| David Stuckenberg | 397 | 0.1% | |||
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 303 | 0.1% | |||
| Total: | 311,528 | 100.0% | 43 | 43 | |
| Source: [4][5] | |||||
Libertarian primary
The Oklahoma Libertarian primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Jacob Hornberger and Chase Oliver were qualified by petition for placement on the ballot. This is the first presidential preference primary for any alternative party in the state.[6]
Oliver and Hornberger participated in a forum at Rose State College in Midwest City, Oklahoma, on February 7, 2024.[7][8]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Oliver | 569 | 61.25% | |||
| Jacob Hornberger | 360 | 38.75% | |||
| Total: | 929 | 100% | |||
| Source:[9] | |||||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[10] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[11] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Solid R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[13] | Solid R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[14] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[15] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
Polling
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | October 1–3, 2023 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Emerson College | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 30% | 11% |
| SoonerPoll | October 4–6, 2022 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 63% | 30% | 7% |
- Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 53% | 28% | 19% |
See also
- United States presidential elections in Oklahoma
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
References
- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
- ^ "Official Results". Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved March 28, 2024.
- ^ "Oklahoma Republican Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
- ^ "Unofficial Results". results.okelections.us. Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
- ^ "Who is on the presidential primary ballot in Oklahoma?". USA Today.
- ^ Denwalt, Dale (February 23, 2024). "Presidential candidates skip Oklahoma ahead of Super Tuesday". The Oklahoman. Retrieved March 8, 2024.
The two Libertarian Party candidates on Oklahoma's ballot, Chase Oliver and Jacob Hornberger, spoke at Rose State College this month.
- ^ "2024 Libertarian OK Presidential Forum". Oklahoma Libertarian Party – via YouTube.
- ^ "Unofficial Results". results.okelections.us. Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved March 6, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
